Market Overview: Hedera/Tether (HBARUSDT) on 2025-12-27

Summary
• Hedera/Tether (HBARUSDT) consolidates near 0.1120, with 0.1125–0.1135 as key resistance.
• A bullish breakout attempt emerged at 0.1130–0.1133 but failed to hold.
• Volume and turnover surged during the early afternoon, suggesting renewed activity.
• RSI suggests moderate momentum with no extreme overbought or oversold conditions.
• Price appears to be testing the upper Bollinger Band amid moderate volatility.

Hedera/Tether (HBARUSDT) opened at 0.11166 on 12:00 ET – 1 and traded within a range of 0.1113–0.1133, closing at 0.11266 on 12:00 ET. Total volume reached ~34.7 million, while turnover totaled ~3.78 million USDT.

Price Action and Structure

Price developed a clear bullish bias between 01:00 ET and 05:00 ET, climbing above 0.1125 and reaching a high of 0.11334 before consolidating. A strong 5-minute bullish engulfing pattern appeared around 11:45 ET, followed by a failed follow-through. The 0.1120–0.1125 zone has emerged as key support, with a bearish rejection observed at 0.1135.

Trend and Momentum

On the 5-minute chart, the 20-period moving average (0.1123) and 50-period moving average (0.1122) suggest a flat to mildly bullish bias. RSI hovered between 55–65 during the session, indicating moderate upward momentum but without overbought conditions. MACD showed a narrowing histogram but no clear divergence, suggesting potential exhaustion in the current trend.

Volatility and Distribution

Bollinger Bands widened in the afternoon, with price frequently testing the upper band. Notably, the most active hour (12:00–14:00 ET) saw above-average turnover and volume, suggesting accumulation or distribution activity. A slight volume divergence appeared between 15:00–16:00 ET, as volume decreased despite continued price consolidation.

Key Levels and Fibonacci Retracements

A recent 5-minute swing from 0.1113 to 0.1133 defines key retracement levels: 38.2% at 0.1123, 50% at 0.1123, and 61.8% at 0.1124. Price remains near the 50% level. Daily Fibonacci levels from the December 25 low suggest potential resistance at 0.1142 and 0.1153.

In the next 24 hours, HBARUSDT may test the 0.1130–0.1135 area again, depending on broader market conditions. A failure to break above 0.1135 could lead to a pullback toward 0.1120, with support to watch at the 50-period MA. Investors should monitor volume divergence and RSI behavior for clues on momentum shifts.