Market Overview for Fusionist/Tether (ACEUSDT) on 2025-09-13

• ACEUSDT surged 7.6% from $0.628 to $0.66, driven by strong volume expansion and bullish momentum.
• RSI hit 62, indicating rising strength, while MACD crossed into positive territory for the first time in 24 hours.
• A key resistance at $0.665 was briefly tested, with mixed follow-through.
• Volatility expanded as price oscillated between $0.635 and $0.672, with Bollinger Bands widening.
• Divergence in late session saw price rallying while volume eased, raising caution.

Fusionist/Tether (ACEUSDT) opened at $0.628 on 2025-09-12 at 12:00 ET and surged to a 24-hour high of $0.672 before closing at $0.646 at 12:00 ET on 2025-09-13. The pair traded between $0.628 and $0.672, with a total volume of 5,244,789.4 and notional turnover of $3,338,386. Key resistance appears to form around $0.665–$0.668, while support levels hold at $0.645 and $0.635.

Structure & Formations

The 15-minute chart shows a strong bullish bias, with a series of higher highs and higher lows forming a rising channel since the late evening. A notable pattern is a bullish engulfing candle at $0.644 → $0.656 at 03:30 ET and a similar structure at $0.657 → $0.663 at 04:30 ET. A doji formed at $0.663–$0.663 at 04:45 ET, hinting at indecision after a sharp rally. The price then consolidated between $0.66 and $0.665 before a late sell-off to close below $0.65. The daily chart shows a bullish breakout above $0.65, with strong follow-through in volume.

Moving Averages

On the 15-minute chart, the 20SMA crossed above the 50SMA to form a golden cross at $0.648–$0.649 around 05:00 ET, reinforcing bullish momentum. On the daily chart, the 50DMA is at $0.638, and the 100DMA and 200DMA are at $0.634 and $0.629 respectively, suggesting the pair has moved decisively above its longer-term averages, signaling a shift in trend.

MACD & RSI

MACD turned positive around 03:30 ET and showed a strong histogram expansion during the 04:00–05:00 ET period, reflecting growing bullish momentum. RSI moved above 50 at 03:00 ET and peaked near 62, suggesting strength but not yet overbought. A divergence in the RSI during the final hour (15:00–16:00 ET) showed price falling while RSI held steady, raising caution about potential exhaustion in the upside.

Bollinger Bands

Volatility increased significantly during the 03:00–06:00 ET period, with Bollinger Bands expanding from a width of $0.008 to $0.016. Price closed just below the upper band at $0.66, suggesting a strong but not yet overextended move. A contraction is expected as the price consolidates around $0.646–$0.652 ahead of the next breakout.

Volume & Turnover

Volume spiked above 170,000 at 04:30 ET and again at 08:30 ET during the breakout phase, confirming strong conviction in the rally. However, volume dropped sharply during the final hour (15:00–16:00 ET), as price fell from $0.667 to $0.646, indicating a lack of follow-through buying. Notional turnover increased proportionally with volume, showing no significant divergence in the price-action pattern.

Fibonacci Retracements

Applying a 15-minute swing from $0.644 to $0.663, key retracement levels at $0.653 (38.2%) and $0.649 (61.8%) were clearly tested and held. On the daily chart, a recent swing from $0.635 to $0.668 shows retracement targets at $0.652 (38.2%) and $0.645 (61.8%), both of which were recently tested. The current close at $0.646 aligns closely with the 61.8% level, indicating a possible support pivot for the next 24 hours.

Backtest Hypothesis

The backtest strategy described focuses on identifying breakout patterns using the combination of MACD crossovers, volume surges, and Fibonacci retracement levels. The strategy would have entered long positions around 04:30 ET upon a golden cross and a 38.2% retracement confirmation, with a stop-loss below $0.645 and a take-profit at $0.665. The volume spike and strong MACD signal would have confirmed the setup, while the final hour’s divergence in RSI and declining volume could have signaled an exit or tightening stop. This approach would have captured the 15-minute rally while managing downside risk during the consolidation phase.