Market Overview for Ethena/BNB (ENABNB)
• Ethena/BNB traded lower in 24 hours, closing near the session low.
• Price tested support at 0.000805–0.000808, with a consolidation forming.
• Volume spiked during 0.0008274–0.000805 pullback, hinting at short-term reversal attempts.
• RSI remains in oversold territory, suggesting potential for a rebound.
• Volatility contracted after 2025-09-13T22:30, signaling a lull before a possible move.
Ethena/BNB (ENABNB) opened at 0.0008098 on 2025-09-13 12:00 ET and closed at 0.000795 at 12:00 ET the next day. The 24-hour low reached 0.000795, and the high was 0.0008279. Total volume traded was approximately 48,854.99, and total notional turnover was roughly 39.56 (in BNBBNB-- terms).
Structure & Formations
ENABNB formed a bearish engulfing pattern during the 19:30–20:15 ET window (2025-09-13), confirming a reversal to the downside. A doji appeared at 2025-09-14 05:00 ET, suggesting indecision after a sharp rebound. The price has found support at 0.000805–0.000808, where it has bounced off multiple times. Resistance levels to watch include 0.0008102, 0.0008165, and 0.0008274.
Moving Averages
The 20-period and 50-period moving averages on the 15-minute chart are bearish, with the 50-period line crossing below the 20-period, indicating bearish momentum. On the daily chart, the 50-period and 100-period lines are converging, while the 200-period MA offers a long-term floor at around 0.000790–0.000792.
MACD & RSI
MACD is in a bearish crossover, with the histogram tightening after a broad divergence earlier in the day, suggesting a potential short-term reversal. RSI has reached oversold levels (below 30), indicating that further downside may be limited unless a strong short-covering move fails. Momentum appears to be weakening, and a bullish bounce could be triggered by a RSI rebound above 40.
Bollinger Bands
Volatility has expanded after 2025-09-13 18:00 ET, with price bouncing between the lower band and the centerline. A contraction occurred after 2025-09-14 03:15 ET, signaling a period of consolidation ahead of potential breakout or breakdown. Price has been trading near the lower band since 2025-09-14 04:30 ET, hinting at a potential reversal attempt.
Volume & Turnover
Volume spiked during the 2025-09-13 18:15–19:30 ET window, confirming the sharp drop from 0.0008279 to 0.000818. The divergence between price and volume after 2025-09-14 02:45 ET suggests weakening bearish conviction. Notional turnover has remained relatively consistent, with a notable dip during the consolidation phase after 2025-09-14 05:00 ET.
Fibonacci Retracements
The 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the 0.0008279–0.000805 swing is around 0.0008152. Price tested this level before breaking down toward 0.000805, indicating a strong bearish impulse. The 38.2% level (0.0008165) has served as a minor resistance and may become a support if a rebound is confirmed.
Backtest Hypothesis
A potential backtest strategy could involve entering a short position when the 15-minute 20-period MA crosses below the 50-period MA (death cross), confirmed by a bearish engulfing pattern and RSI below 40. A stop-loss can be placed above the 0.0008102 resistance level, with a take-profit target at the 0.000790–0.000792 Fibonacci level. This strategy aligns with the observed bearish structure and may improve with a filter that requires increasing volume and a RSI divergence.



Comentarios
Aún no hay comentarios