Summary
• Price tested key support near 0.01172 before rebounding, with 0.01201–0.01204 as near-term resistance.
• Momentum weakened after 05:45 ET as RSI trended lower and Bollinger Bands contracted.
• Volume surged during the breakdown below 0.01226, confirming bearish pressure.
• A bullish engulfing pattern formed between 07:30 and 08:00 ET, signaling short-term buying interest.
• Turnover diverged from price in the early morning, suggesting potential exhaustion in the downtrend.
Market Overview
At 12:00 ET on 2026-01-05, dForce/Tether (DFUSDT) opened at 0.01246, reached a high of 0.01258, a low of 0.01172, and closed at 0.01200. Total volume was 9,661,464.0, while notional turnover was 116,547.01.
Structure & Patterns
Price formed a bullish engulfing pattern between 07:30 and 08:00 ET, suggesting short-term reversal potential. A strong bearish breakdown occurred below 0.01226 from 04:30 to 05:00 ET, confirmed by heavy volume. Key support levels at 0.01172 and 0.01190–0.01192 showed some resilience, but the 0.01201–0.01204 zone appears to act as immediate resistance.
Technical Indicators
RSI dipped below 30 during the morning hours, indicating oversold conditions, but failed to generate a strong rebound. MACD flattened after 06:00 ET, reflecting reduced momentum. Bollinger Bands compressed around 05:45 ET, signaling potential for increased volatility.
Volume & Turnover
Volume spiked during the breakdown below 0.01226, with 6,894,956.0 traded, confirming bearish pressure. However, turnover later diverged from price, with volume declining even as price continued lower, suggesting weakening conviction.
Volatility and Fibonacci
The price moved sharply lower from 0.01245 to 0.01172, a 5.8% decline, reaching the 61.8% Fibonacci level. Volatility expanded significantly during the breakdown, with Bollinger Bands widening to over 0.0005 in width.
Over the next 24 hours, a retest of the 0.01201–0.01204 resistance zone could determine whether the short-term downtrend continues or stalls. Investors should remain cautious of a potential reversal if volume increases with upward movement.
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