Summary
• Price action shows a bearish trend, failing to reclaim key resistance near $0.00135.
• RSI indicates oversold conditions, hinting at potential short-term bounce.
• Volatility remains elevated, with intraday swings exceeding 1.1%.
• Volume surged during the initial dip, but has since flattened.
• Bollinger Bands narrow before a sharp break lower, suggesting trend continuation risk.
Contentos/Tether (COSUSDT) opened at $0.001356 the previous day and traded between $0.001356 and $0.001292 over the 24-hour window, closing at $0.001307 as of 12:00 ET. The total volume was 58,935,909.89 and notional turnover reached $76,442.23.
Structure & Formations
The 24-hour price action was marked by a sustained decline, with sellers dominating from 19:30 to 04:30 ET. The price failed to hold above the 0.001325 resistance level, forming multiple bearish engulfing patterns, particularly during the late-night to early-morning hours. A key support level appears at $0.001305, where the price bounced several times. A doji formed near $0.001307 in the final hours, suggesting indecision.
Moving Averages
On the 5-minute chart, price has remained below the 20-period and 50-period SMAs for most of the session, reinforcing the bearish bias. On the daily chart, a potential crossover toward bearish momentum may occur if the 50-period SMA continues to pull away from the 200-period SMA.
MACD & RSI
MACD remained in negative territory, with the signal line crossing below the histogram, signaling continued bearish momentum. RSI dipped into oversold territory below 30 during the late night, suggesting a potential countertrend bounce, but bearish divergence remains strong as higher lows failed to form.
Bollinger Bands
Volatility expanded as price broke below the lower Bollinger Band at around $0.001305, confirming the bearish breakout. Price has remained compressed within the bands for most of the session, but the recent expansion suggests increased uncertainty and possible continuation of the downward move.
Volume & Turnover
Volume spiked during the initial selloff between 20:00 and 22:00 ET, with over 16 million contracts traded in those hours. Turnover also rose sharply, confirming the bearish move. However, volume has since cooled, which may signal exhaustion among sellers. A divergence appears between price and volume during the late bounce, indicating mixed signals.
Fibonacci Retracements
On the 5-minute chart, the decline found a temporary pause at the 61.8% Fibonacci level around $0.001307, suggesting short-term support. On the daily timeframe, if the decline continues, the next key Fibonacci level to watch is the 78.6% retracement of the recent upswing near $0.001295.
Looking ahead, the market may test the $0.001305 level for stability in the next 24 hours. A failure to hold this support could lead to a test of $0.001292. Investors should remain cautious of short-term rebounds but be prepared for further downside given the current bearish momentum and structural bias.
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