Market Overview for Blur/Tether (BLURUSDT) – October 6, 2025
Generado por agente de IAAinvest Crypto Technical Radar
lunes, 6 de octubre de 2025, 3:41 pm ET2 min de lectura
USDT--
BLURUSDT formed a descending pattern earlier in the session, with a notable bearish engulfing pattern observed around 18:00 ET–1. This was followed by a consolidation phase between $0.0742 and $0.0750 before a sharp breakout in the late hours. A bullish reversal was confirmed by a strong green candle at 15:30 ET–1, closing at the high of $0.0774. Key support levels formed at $0.0745 and $0.0735, while resistance emerged at $0.0760 and $0.0775. A doji near $0.07504 at 18:30 ET–1 indicated indecision and likely contributed to the consolidation.
On the 15-minute chart, the 20-period and 50-period moving averages were closely aligned in the morning, but diverged as the bullish momentum intensified. The 50-period SMA crossed above the 20-period SMA during the breakout, forming a golden cross and reinforcing the upside bias. The daily chart suggests a longer-term bullish trend with the 50- and 200-period SMAs in a positive alignment, suggesting continued upward potential.
The MACD showed a strong positive crossover in the late hours, with the histogram expanding as the price moved above the signal line, confirming bullish momentum. RSI pushed into overbought territory in the final hours, hitting levels above 70, which may indicate a potential short-term pullback. However, the sustained volume increases suggest that the overbought condition might be tolerated for a while longer.
Bollinger Bands contracted between 03:00 ET and 05:00 ET, suggesting a period of low volatility. However, as the price broke out in the afternoon, the bands expanded, with the price closing near the upper band. This indicates heightened volatility and growing conviction in the bullish move. The narrow mid-session contraction may have acted as a false breakout trap before the real move commenced.
Volume increased significantly during the late hours, especially after 14:00 ET, with several 15-minute intervals surpassing 200,000 BLUR traded. The notional turnover aligned closely with the volume increase, confirming the price action. Notably, the 15:30 ET–1 candle recorded the highest single-candle turnover, with $18 million in trading value. No material divergences between price and turnover were observed, suggesting strong institutional and retail alignment.
Applying Fibonacci retracement levels to the recent 15-minute move from $0.0741 to $0.07747, price found support at the 38.2% ($0.0757) and 50% ($0.0758) levels, which acted as key psychological points during consolidation. The 61.8% retracement at $0.07717 was breached on the final candles, indicating strong follow-through and potential for a test of the 100% extension level around $0.0793.
A potential backtest strategy for this pair could involve a long-biased approach triggered by a golden cross in the 15-minute moving averages, confirmed by a bullish engulfing pattern and strong volume expansion. A stop-loss could be placed below the 38.2% Fibonacci support level at $0.0757. Given the overbought RSI and expansion in Bollinger Bands, the trade may be exited at the upper band or at a 5% take-profit. This approach leverages the confluence of multiple bullish signals and could be tested across similar price patterns over a 30-day period to assess its robustness and risk-adjusted returns.
BLUR--
• BLURUSDT opened at $0.07576 and closed at $0.07721, with a 24-hour high of $0.07747 and low of $0.0741.
• Price consolidated in a descending pattern before a late-day breakout to fresh highs, supported by increasing volume.
• RSI and MACD show strong bullish momentum, with RSI hitting overbought territory, hinting at potential near-term exhaustion.
• Volatility expanded in the final hours, with Bollinger Bands widening and price moving to the upper band.
• Turnover exceeded $59 million, up sharply from earlier in the session, reinforcing conviction behind the rally.
At 12:00 ET–1 on October 5, 2025, Blur/Tether (BLURUSDT) opened at $0.07576. Over the 24-hour period, the pair reached a high of $0.07747 and a low of $0.0741, before closing at $0.07721 at 12:00 ET on October 6. The total 24-hour volume was 5,908,953 BLURBLUR--, and the notional turnover was approximately $59.09 million, based on the dataset.
Structure & Formations
BLURUSDT formed a descending pattern earlier in the session, with a notable bearish engulfing pattern observed around 18:00 ET–1. This was followed by a consolidation phase between $0.0742 and $0.0750 before a sharp breakout in the late hours. A bullish reversal was confirmed by a strong green candle at 15:30 ET–1, closing at the high of $0.0774. Key support levels formed at $0.0745 and $0.0735, while resistance emerged at $0.0760 and $0.0775. A doji near $0.07504 at 18:30 ET–1 indicated indecision and likely contributed to the consolidation.
Moving Averages
On the 15-minute chart, the 20-period and 50-period moving averages were closely aligned in the morning, but diverged as the bullish momentum intensified. The 50-period SMA crossed above the 20-period SMA during the breakout, forming a golden cross and reinforcing the upside bias. The daily chart suggests a longer-term bullish trend with the 50- and 200-period SMAs in a positive alignment, suggesting continued upward potential.
MACD & RSI
The MACD showed a strong positive crossover in the late hours, with the histogram expanding as the price moved above the signal line, confirming bullish momentum. RSI pushed into overbought territory in the final hours, hitting levels above 70, which may indicate a potential short-term pullback. However, the sustained volume increases suggest that the overbought condition might be tolerated for a while longer.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands contracted between 03:00 ET and 05:00 ET, suggesting a period of low volatility. However, as the price broke out in the afternoon, the bands expanded, with the price closing near the upper band. This indicates heightened volatility and growing conviction in the bullish move. The narrow mid-session contraction may have acted as a false breakout trap before the real move commenced.
Volume & Turnover
Volume increased significantly during the late hours, especially after 14:00 ET, with several 15-minute intervals surpassing 200,000 BLUR traded. The notional turnover aligned closely with the volume increase, confirming the price action. Notably, the 15:30 ET–1 candle recorded the highest single-candle turnover, with $18 million in trading value. No material divergences between price and turnover were observed, suggesting strong institutional and retail alignment.
Fibonacci Retracements
Applying Fibonacci retracement levels to the recent 15-minute move from $0.0741 to $0.07747, price found support at the 38.2% ($0.0757) and 50% ($0.0758) levels, which acted as key psychological points during consolidation. The 61.8% retracement at $0.07717 was breached on the final candles, indicating strong follow-through and potential for a test of the 100% extension level around $0.0793.
Backtest Hypothesis
A potential backtest strategy for this pair could involve a long-biased approach triggered by a golden cross in the 15-minute moving averages, confirmed by a bullish engulfing pattern and strong volume expansion. A stop-loss could be placed below the 38.2% Fibonacci support level at $0.0757. Given the overbought RSI and expansion in Bollinger Bands, the trade may be exited at the upper band or at a 5% take-profit. This approach leverages the confluence of multiple bullish signals and could be tested across similar price patterns over a 30-day period to assess its robustness and risk-adjusted returns.
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