Market Overview for Audius/Tether (AUDIOUSDT) – October 14, 2025

• Price opened at $0.0464 and closed at $0.0450, with a 24-hour high of $0.0493 and low of $0.0433.
• A sharp bearish reversal occurred during the overnight session, with volume spiking at the top.
• Volatility expanded sharply between 16:30–19:00 ET, followed by a prolonged consolidation below key support at $0.0465.
• RSI reached oversold territory early in the morning but failed to trigger a strong rebound.
• Total volume exceeded 17 million AUDIO, but turnover remained muted, suggesting limited conviction.

The 24-hour period for Audius/Tether (AUDIOUSDT) saw a volatile but ultimately bearish price action. The pair opened at $0.0464 on October 13 at 12:00 ET and closed at $0.0450 on October 14 at 12:00 ET. During the session, it reached a high of $0.0493 and a low of $0.0433, reflecting a range of $0.0060. Total volume for the period was 17,407,121.8 AUDIO, with a notional turnover of $855,941.21 (calculated as volume * average price of $0.0490).

The price structure indicates a significant bearish shift following a strong bull attempt in the early morning. A bullish 15-minute candle at 16:30 ET pushed the price to a 24-hour high of $0.0493, but this failed to hold, giving way to a broad sell-off. The price fell below key psychological support at $0.0465, and failed to reclaim it, forming a bearish engulfing pattern at the top. This was accompanied by a high-volume bar, suggesting a failed attempt at a reversal.

The 20-period and 50-period moving averages on the 15-minute chart are currently bearishly aligned, with the 20 EMA dipping below the 50 EMA, confirming a downward trend. MACD is in negative territory, and the histogram is expanding, reflecting accelerating bearish momentum. The RSI is currently in oversold territory at 28, but has shown no strong divergence, indicating a potential for further downside in the absence of a clear reversal pattern or volume confirmation.

Volatility, as measured by the width of Bollinger Bands, expanded significantly between 16:30–19:00 ET, coinciding with the sharp selloff. The price closed below the lower band, suggesting a continuation of bearish pressure. Fibonacci retracements indicate that the recent move from $0.0493 to $0.0433 has tested the 61.8% level at $0.0460, and current price levels sit near 38.2%. A break below $0.0433 would target $0.0419 as the next key level.

The MACD and RSI indicators suggest that momentum is firmly on the bearish side, with no immediate signs of reversal. A continuation of the current trend appears likely unless a strong bullish catalyst emerges. However, investors should be cautious, as a lack of volume in the current consolidation phase may signal a temporary pause rather than a reversal. The risk of further downside remains elevated over the next 24 hours.

Backtest Hypothesis
The observed bearish momentum and oversold RSI levels provide an opportunity for a backtesting strategy focused on short-term bearish trades. A potential approach would involve entering short positions when the RSI dips below 30, with an exit strategy when RSI rises back above 30 or when the price breaks above the 50 EMA on the 15-minute chart. To refine risk management, a stop-loss at 5% above entry and a take-profit target at 10% below entry could be implemented. Given the current setup, such a strategy might benefit from high-volume entries that confirm a breakdown, particularly during periods of volatility expansion like those seen on October 13. This approach would align well with the current bearish trend and the technical signals from MACD and Fibonacci levels.