Market Overview for Audius/Tether (AUDIOUSDT) on 2025-09-25

• Price fell from 0.0572 to 0.0548 over 24 hours amid declining momentum.
• RSI and MACD suggest weakening bullish pressure and bearish divergence.
• Volume surged in the morning, aligning with downward price swings.
• Bollinger Bands show price consolidation at the lower band, indicating oversold conditions.
• Key support at 0.0548 and resistance at 0.0567 appear significant for near-term direction.

Audius/Tether (AUDIOUSDT) opened at 0.0571 on 2025-09-24 at 12:00 ET and closed at 0.0548 on 2025-09-25 at 12:00 ET, with a high of 0.0572 and a low of 0.0539 over the period. Total volume reached 6,098,878.1, and notional turnover amounted to 329.5 USDT.

Structure & Formations

Price has tested key support levels multiple times throughout the day, notably at 0.0548, where it formed a bearish harami pattern around 15:30 ET, followed by a breakdown. Resistance at 0.0567 has held several times, most recently at 08:30 ET, with price failing to close above. A doji formed at 12:00 ET, indicating indecision and potential reversal. The structure suggests that 0.0548 is a strong support level, which has been confirmed after three attempts.

Moving Averages

On the 15-minute chart, the 20-period moving average is currently bearish, crossing below the 50-period line. The 50-period MA is acting as resistance in the morning and early afternoon, reinforcing bearish sentiment. On the daily chart, the 50-period MA is above the 100- and 200-period lines, suggesting a medium-term bearish trend. Price remains below all three, which may continue to weigh on bullish attempts.

MACD & RSI

The MACD has been in negative territory for most of the session, with the signal line crossing below the MACD line at 10:00 ET, confirming a bearish crossover. RSI has fallen below 30, indicating oversold conditions; however, a lack of follow-through above 40 suggests bearish momentum may not be exhausted. A potential short-term bounce could occur if RSI finds support near 30, but a sustained move above 40 seems unlikely without a sharp volume surge.

Bollinger Bands

Price has remained near the lower Bollinger Band for most of the session, particularly after 04:30 ET. This indicates a period of low volatility and bearish pressure. The band width has expanded slightly during the morning, signaling increased uncertainty. If price breaks below the lower band or closes above the upper band, it may indicate a shift in volatility.

Volume & Turnover

Volume spiked sharply in the early morning (05:00–09:00 ET), coinciding with a bearish breakdown from 0.0553 to 0.0548. This confirms bearish conviction during that window. However, volume has since tapered off, suggesting waning participation. The notional turnover remains low, which may imply a lack of institutional participation or speculative interest at current levels.

Fibonacci Retracements

Applying Fibonacci retracement to the recent 15-minute swing from 0.0572 to 0.0548, price is currently testing the 61.8% level at 0.0556. A break below 0.0553 would target the 78.6% level at 0.0546. Daily retracement levels from the 0.0572 high to the recent low of 0.0539 also show 0.0556 as a potential area of interest, with 0.0548 acting as a key support.

Backtest Hypothesis

A backtesting strategy could be based on entering short positions when RSI dips below 30 and MACD is in negative territory, with a stop-loss just above the 50-period moving average and a target at the next Fibonacci level. A trailing stop could be implemented after price pulls back to the 50-period MA, capturing both bearish momentum and potential rebounds. This approach would aim to capture short-term bearish swings amid a broader downtrend, especially if volume confirms bearish bias during entry.