Market Overview for APTBTC (Aptos/Bitcoin) on 2025-10-12

• APTBTC opened at $0.00003375, reached a high of $0.00003453, and closed at $0.00003453 after a volatile 24-hour session.
• Price traded in a bearish trend before a late-day bullish reversal, with significant volume spikes observed near $0.00003233–$0.00003294.
• RSI showed oversold conditions early, rebounded into neutral territory, and ended in overbought territory, suggesting potential exhaustion or continuation.
• Bollinger Band contractions noted in the overnight session, followed by expansion as the pair surged back.
• Notional turnover reached $2278.25 at $0.00003204, confirming a key price level during a strong rebound.

Aptos/Bitcoin (APTBTC) opened at $0.00003375 (12:00 ET−1), surged to a high of $0.00003453, and closed at $0.00003453 at 12:00 ET. The pair experienced a sharp dip to $0.00003185, with 24-hour volume of 155,548.9 and a total turnover of $4,888.29. Key support at $0.00003185 and resistance at $0.00003453 were clearly defined, with price finding a path back to prior highs amid a volume-driven recovery.

Structure & Formations

Price action exhibited a bearish breakdown to $0.00003185, followed by a strong reversal into a bullish engulfing pattern at $0.00003204–$0.00003294. A doji at $0.00003275 suggested indecision ahead of the surge. The 15-minute chart showed a key support at $0.00003233 and resistance at $0.00003294, which was confirmed by volume and price action.

Moving Averages

The 20-period and 50-period moving averages on the 15-minute chart remained bullish post-9:00 ET. On the daily chart, the 50/100/200 EMA structure indicated a neutral setup, with the 50 EMA crossing above the 100 EMA in the early part of the session. This suggests a potential continuation of the bullish trend.

MACD & RSI

MACD remained bearish until 10:00 ET, after which it turned bullish with a positive crossover. RSI hit oversold levels at 24 and rebounded to overbought territory by close. Momentum appears to be building with strong divergence in the RSI after the 4:00 ET trough, signaling potential continuation.

Bollinger Bands

Bollinger Bands contracted significantly overnight, narrowing between $0.00003200 and $0.00003240, before price broke above the upper band following the 7:00 ET rebound. The 15-minute chart showed expansion in volatility after the 4:00 ET low, confirming the breakout.

Volume & Turnover

Volume spiked at key support levels, with the largest notional turnover of $2278.25 at $0.00003204. A divergence between price and volume was observed as price fell to $0.00003185, but this was followed by confirmation at $0.00003294. This suggests strong accumulation at the lower end of the range.

Fibonacci Retracements

Fibonacci retracements on the 15-minute swing from $0.00003185 to $0.00003453 showed a 61.8% retracement at $0.00003294, which was tested and held. On the daily chart, the 38.2% retracement at $0.00003280 acted as a key pivot during the recovery.

Backtest Hypothesis

A potential backtesting strategy could involve a breakout-based approach, entering long positions upon a confirmed close above the 61.8% Fibonacci level at $0.00003294 with a stop-loss below the 50% retracement. Given the observed volatility contraction followed by expansion and bullish MACD crossover, this could align with a momentum-following signal. RSI divergence and volume confirmation also support the strategy’s validity.