Market Overview for Anchored Coins AEUR/Tether (AEURUSDT) – 2025-10-01

• AEUR/USDT traded in a narrow range with choppy price action near 1.081–1.084.
• Volatility remained low but saw a minor expansion in the final 8 hours.
• No strong overbought or oversold RSI levels observed, with momentum flat.
• Price tested key 1.0805–1.0804 support level twice, failing to break decisively.
• High volume confirmed near 1.0828–1.0834, but failed to push higher.

Anchored Coins AEUR/Tether (AEURUSDT) opened at 1.081 at 12:00 ET − 1 and traded between 1.0802 and 1.084 over the 24-hour period, closing at 1.0828. Total volume reached 8,340.8 with a notional turnover of $8,622.5. The pair showed no clear directional bias but formed several consolidative patterns.

Structure & Formations

Price remained in a tight range throughout the session, bounded by support at 1.0804 and resistance at 1.084. A small bullish engulfing pattern formed around 1.0804–1.0805 in the early hours but lacked follow-through. A bearish spinning top appeared at 1.0828 as the final candle wicks down, signaling indecision. The pair failed to break above 1.0834, a key Fibonacci level from a prior rally, which may continue to act as overhead resistance.

Moving Averages

On the 15-minute chart, the 20-period and 50-period SMAs remained tightly clustered near 1.0818–1.0821, suggesting the pair was in a consolidation phase. On the daily chart, the 50-period SMA sits at 1.0806, aligning with the lower end of the range. The 100- and 200-period SMAs remain slightly lower, at 1.0799 and 1.0794 respectively, reinforcing the potential for a shallow bullish breakout in the near term.

MACD & RSI

The MACD line remained near zero, reflecting flat momentum with no clear trend forming. RSI fluctuated between 45–55, staying well within neutral territory. There were no overbought (RSI > 70) or oversold (RSI < 30) signals during the session, indicating a lack of conviction in either direction. Price formed a small divergence with RSI at 1.0834, hinting that further attempts to break higher may meet resistance.

Bollinger Bands

Bollinger Bands remained narrow for most of the session, with the 20-period middle band hovering near 1.0818. The price spent time near the lower band in the early hours and then moved into the upper band in the late morning, indicating mild volatility expansion. By the close, price was near the upper band again, suggesting a potential test of the 1.0834–1.084 resistance zone in the coming 24 hours.

Volume & Turnover

Volume remained uneven throughout the session but spiked in the early morning and late afternoon hours. The largest volume spike occurred near 1.0834 with a total of 545.1 units, but the price failed to push higher. Notional turnover also showed a slight spike in the early morning before stabilizing. Price and volume actions appeared to confirm the resistance at 1.0834 but lacked follow-through on the long side.

Fibonacci Retracements

A shallow retracement of a prior rally was evident, with price finding key support at the 38.2% level (1.0805) and resistance at 61.8% (1.0834). Price briefly touched the 1.084 level, a 78.6% extension, before retreating, suggesting that the 1.0834–1.084 zone may act as a critical test of buyers' resolve. A breakdown below 1.0805 could trigger further downside to 1.0794, aligning with the 200-period SMA.

Backtest Hypothesis

A potential breakout strategy could be tested by using Bollinger Bands and RSI in combination. When price touches the lower Bollinger Band and RSI dips below 40, a long entry could be triggered with a stop-loss placed below the previous swing low. Conversely, when price hits the upper Bollinger Band and RSI exceeds 60, a short entry could be initiated with a stop above the previous high. Given the flat momentum and limited overbought/oversold signals observed today, such a strategy would likely remain untriggered unless volatility and conviction increase in the next 24 hours.