• AMPUSDT experienced a 24-hour range-bound pattern between $0.003117 and $0.003207.
• A bullish recovery emerged after a bearish 1-hour candle on 2025-09-23T20:00:00.
• On-balance volume spiked during the 2025-09-24T03:30:00–04:45:00 window.
• RSI crossed into overbought territory after a sharp 1.7% rally post-2025-09-24T09:15:00.
• Price remains above its 20-period 15-min moving average, indicating potential short-term momentum.
Amp/Tether (AMPUSDT) opened at $0.003167 on 2025-09-23T12:00:00 ET and reached a high of $0.003207 before closing at $0.003179 on 2025-09-24T12:00:00. The 24-hour volume totaled ~137,000,000 units, with a notional turnover of approximately $440,000. The pair remained within a tight range, suggesting a period of consolidation.
Structure & Formations
Price action revealed a key support level forming around $0.003145–0.003147 during the early hours of 2025-09-24, followed by a bullish reversal as price bounced off this level. A notable bullish engulfing pattern appeared around 2025-09-24T03:30:00, indicating a potential short-term bottom. A doji emerged during the 2025-09-24T14:30:00–15:45:00 window, signaling indecision and a possible pause in momentum. The 24-hour chart shows a flag pattern between $0.003117 and $0.003207, which may indicate a continuation setup.
Moving Averages
On the 15-minute timeframe, price closed above both the 20-period and 50-period moving averages, suggesting short-term bullish momentum. The 20-period MA hovered near $0.003173–0.003175, while the 50-period MA was slightly lower at $0.003169–0.003171. On the daily chart, price is trading above the 50-period moving average at ~$0.003162 but below the 100-period MA at $0.003168 and the 200-period MA at ~$0.003170, suggesting a mixed signal between medium- and long-term sentiment.
MACD & RSI
The 15-minute MACD turned positive during the early hours of 2025-09-24, with a signal line crossover at ~0.003172. RSI peaked at 65–67 during the 2025-09-24T09:15:00–10:45:00 window, crossing into overbought territory for the first time in the 24-hour period. By 2025-09-24T16:00:00, RSI had corrected to ~58, indicating moderate momentum. The MACD histogram displayed a slight positive divergence during the mid-day rally, aligning with the price recovery.
Bollinger Bands
Volatility expanded during the 2025-09-24T03:30:00–06:00:00 window, with price touching the lower band at $0.003147 before rebounding. The Bollinger Bands width (BBW) increased by ~15% from earlier in the day, indicating a period of heightened uncertainty. By the afternoon, volatility contracted again, and price settled near the 15-minute 15-minute Bollinger Band midpoint, suggesting a possible return to a range.
Volume & Turnover
Volume spiked above 3.5 million units during the 2025-09-24T04:30:00–06:00:00 window, confirming the morning bounce off the $0.003147 support. The highest notional turnover occurred between 2025-09-24T03:30:00–06:00:00, with a peak of ~$15,000. During this period, price moved upward despite moderate volume, suggesting institutional accumulation. A divergence between price and volume was noted during the 2025-09-24T14:45:00–16:00:00 window, where price rose but volume declined, which may indicate a weakening of upward momentum.
Fibonacci Retracements
The key 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level from the 2025-09-23T20:00:00 low at $0.003147 to the 2025-09-24T15:00:00 high at $0.003199 was at ~$0.003181, where price showed signs of consolidation. A 0.382 retracement level at ~$0.003174 was also tested twice during the day, suggesting a potential short-term target for price.
Backtest Hypothesis
Based on the observed behavior of the 15-minute Bollinger Bands and MACD divergence during the morning session, a potential backtesting strategy could involve entering long positions when price closes above the 20-period moving average with a bullish MACD crossover and volume confirmation. A stop-loss could be placed below the 0.618 Fibonacci level at $0.003181, with a take-profit near the 0.382 retracement at $0.003174 or the 0.50 level at $0.003185. This approach would align with the short-term bullish momentum and consolidation observed in the data.
Comentarios
Aún no hay comentarios