Market Overview for AC Milan Fan Token/Tether (ACMUSDT) – September 25, 2025

• Price fell to 0.801 after forming bearish engulfing patterns and breaking below key support.
• RSI entered oversold territory, but volume surged at the 0.801 level, suggesting potential reversal.
• Volatility expanded as price traded within a 4.4% range, with a 17.4% drop in turnover from 12:00–09:00 ET.
• Bollinger Bands widened after a contraction around 0.822, indicating a potential breakout phase.
• Short-term Fibonacci retracement levels (61.8% at 0.817, 78.6% at 0.826) show key resistance ahead.

24-Hour Price Summary

AC Milan Fan Token/Tether (ACMUSDT) opened at 0.843 on September 24 at 12:00 ET and closed at 0.803 on September 25 at 12:00 ET, recording a 24-hour high of 0.845 and a low of 0.801. Total volume amounted to 609,919.0, while total turnover reached 496.53 USD, showing a moderate drop in trading intensity as the session progressed.

Structure and Price Action

Price structure showed a bearish breakdown from a key support zone near 0.822, confirmed by bearish engulfing patterns and a doji at 0.811. The breakdown from the 0.822–0.828 range was followed by a rapid decline to 0.801, with a strong bearish bias observed after the 0.804 level was tested multiple times. Notable Fibonacci retracement levels from the 0.801–0.845 swing include 61.8% at 0.817 and 78.6% at 0.826, which could serve as key resistance targets.

Momentum and Volatility

The 20- and 50-period moving averages on the 15-minute chart indicated a strong bearish crossover, reinforcing the downward trend. MACD showed a negative divergence with price, confirming the weakening bullish momentum. RSI fell into oversold territory at 0.804, with a reading below 25, but volume spiked at that level, suggesting potential rejection. Bollinger Bands expanded after a contraction near 0.822, signaling a potential breakout scenario.

Volume and Turnover Analysis

Volume spiked at key turning points, particularly at the 0.804 level, where 60,991.9 units were traded, suggesting accumulation or rejection. However, turnover decreased significantly from 12:00 to 09:00 ET, indicating reduced conviction in the bearish move. A divergence between price and volume was observed after the breakdown at 0.822, which could signal a potential reversal or consolidation phase.

Backtest Hypothesis

A potential backtesting strategy could focus on using a combination of RSI oversold levels and Bollinger Band contractions as entry signals. For example, a long signal could be triggered when RSI falls below 25 and price closes near the lower Bollinger Band, followed by a breakout above the 20-period moving average on rising volume. This setup would have aligned with the 0.804 level on September 25, where RSI reached oversold territory and volume surged. Short-term traders may look to take profit at the 61.8% Fibonacci level at 0.817 or 78.6% at 0.826, depending on market response.

Forward-Looking View and Risk Consideration

With price consolidating near the 0.803 level and volume showing signs of rejection, the market could attempt a bounce toward the 0.817–0.826 range in the next 24 hours. However, a failure to hold above 0.801 could result in a test of the 0.799–0.801 support area. Investors should remain cautious as volatility remains elevated, and sudden price swings may occur due to low liquidity at current levels.