Las implicaciones financieras a largo plazo de la política de deducción del 100% de impuestos de Trump para contribuyentes e inversionistas en EE. UU.

The permanent enshrinement of Trump's 100% bonus depreciation provision under the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (Public Law 119-21) represents a seismic shift in U.S. tax policy, with profound implications for asset allocation, business structuring, and wealth preservation. By making this provision permanent-originally set to expire in 2027-the legislation removes uncertainty for investors and businesses, enabling long-term capital planning. However, the policy's broader economic consequences, including its impact on federal deficits and global capital flows, demand a nuanced approach to investment strategy.

Asset Allocation: Prioritizing Tangible and Depreciable Assets

The 100% bonus depreciation rule allows businesses to deduct the full cost of qualifying assets in the year they are placed in service, effectively accelerating tax deductions and improving cash flow. For real estate investors, this means that portions of new rental properties-such as HVAC systems, plumbing, and electrical infrastructure-can now be fully expensed upfront, rather than depreciated over decades. According to a report by CBH, cost segregation studies-where real estate costs are reclassified into shorter depreciation categories-have become "even more valuable" under the new rules. For example, a $4 million warehouse purchase could see $800,000 in reclassified property fully deducted in the first year, compared to a 40% write-off under the prior schedule.

Manufacturing and production businesses also benefit, as they can write off the entire cost of qualified production property in the first year. This incentivizes domestic investment in facilities and equipment, particularly in sectors like renewable energy or advanced manufacturing, where upfront capital costs are high but long-term returns are substantial according to CBH analysis.

Business Structuring: Leveraging Tax Code Flexibility

The 2025 tax reforms expand opportunities for strategic business structuring. The Section 179 expensing limit, which allows businesses to immediately expense qualifying personal property, has been raised to $2.5 million-a boon for small and mid-sized enterprises looking to scale operations according to CBH analysis. Combined with 100% bonus depreciation, this creates a "dual benefit" for businesses acquiring both smaller assets (e.g., office furniture) and larger real estate investments.

Pass-through entities, such as S corporations and partnerships, further benefit from the permanent 20% qualified business income (QBI) deduction, which reduces effective tax rates on pass-through income. This makes such structures increasingly attractive compared to C corporations, where the flat 21% tax rate remains unchanged according to Comerica analysis. For investors, this suggests a strategic tilt toward pass-through businesses, particularly in industries with high depreciable asset bases.

Wealth Preservation: Estate Planning and Trust Structuring

The 2025 tax bill also reshapes wealth preservation strategies. Increased exemptions for estate, gift, and generation-skipping transfer (GST) taxes provide more flexibility for intergenerational wealth transfer. For instance, the estate tax exemption-already expanded under the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act-now offers greater room for asset protection, reducing the need for complex trust structures according to Comerica analysis.

However, the long-term fiscal risks of the policy cannot be ignored. The Tax Foundation estimates that the bill will increase federal deficits by $3.0 trillion through 2034, with debt-to-GDP ratios rising sharply. This creates a tension for investors: while immediate tax benefits are substantial, the long-term sustainability of such policies remains uncertain.

Economic Implications and Strategic Risks

While the 100% bonus depreciation provision is designed to stimulate domestic investment, its broader economic effects are mixed. On one hand, it could boost GDP growth by incentivizing capital expenditures. On the other, the fiscal expansion risks inflationary pressures and higher interest rates, which could offset some of the policy's benefits. Additionally, Section 899 of the bill-a progressive tax on income earned by foreign entities in countries deemed to have "unfair" tax regimes-could deter foreign direct investment, potentially affecting capital inflows and the U.S. dollar's strength.

Actionable Investment Strategies

For investors, the key is to balance immediate tax advantages with long-term fiscal risks. Here are three actionable strategies:
1. Accelerate Depreciable Asset Purchases: Prioritize investments in qualifying assets (e.g., real estate, manufacturing equipment) to maximize upfront deductions. Cost segregation studies should be a standard part of real estate acquisitions.
2. Optimize Business Structures: Shift toward pass-through entities where feasible, and leverage the expanded Section 179 limits for smaller asset purchases.
3. Hedge Against Fiscal Risks: Diversify portfolios to include assets that perform well in high-debt environments, such as inflation-protected bonds or equities in sectors less sensitive to interest rate hikes.

Conclusion

Trump's 100% tax write-off policy, now permanently codified, offers a powerful tool for investors and businesses to reduce tax liabilities and boost cash flow. However, its long-term success hinges on navigating the trade-offs between fiscal stimulus and sustainability. As with any policy-driven opportunity, the most prudent strategies will combine aggressive near-term tax optimization with a clear-eyed assessment of macroeconomic risks.