Li Auto aumenta 5,6% debido a la alianza estratégica y a un hito de entrega ¿Qué está propiciando el alza?

Summary
• Li Auto’s stock jumps 5.59% to $17.085, hitting a 52-week high of $17.17
• Collaboration with DJI at Daytour Camping Workshop highlights L9 model and tech integration
• 350,000 L6 deliveries in 19 months signal production momentum

Li Auto (LI) is surging on a confluence of strategic partnerships, product milestones, and shifting market sentiment. The stock’s 5.59% intraday gain reflects renewed optimism around its NEV strategy and tech collaborations. With a 52-week range of $16.11–$33.12, the rally suggests short-term bulls are capitalizing on a mix of operational progress and sector rotation.

Strategic Alliance with DJI and Delivery Milestone Drive Li Auto’s Rally
The surge in Li Auto’s stock is directly tied to its collaboration with DJI, showcased at the Daytour Camping Workshop, which highlighted the L9 model’s integration with DJI’s Power 2000 and Action 6. This partnership underscores Li Auto’s positioning in the premium EV market, emphasizing tech-driven utility for outdoor enthusiasts. Additionally, the 350,000 L6 deliveries in nearly 20 months signal production scalability and demand resilience. Meanwhile, the 1.29% indicative borrow rate increase suggests short-term institutional interest, aligning with the stock’s breakout above key resistance levels.

EV Sector Volatile Amid Tariff Uncertainty as Tesla Trails Li Auto’s Gains
The Auto Manufacturers sector remains fragmented, with Tesla (TSLA) down 0.19% despite Li Auto’s rally. Sector-wide pressures include U.S. tariff adjustments and supply chain disruptions, as seen in recent recalls and supplier bankruptcies. Li Auto’s focus on localized production and tech partnerships differentiates it from peers like NIO and XPeng, which face higher debt-to-equity ratios and weaker gross margins. The sector’s 1.62 average beta amplifies volatility, but Li Auto’s 19.41% gross margin and 1.8 current ratio offer relative stability.

Options Playbook: High-Leverage Calls on Li Auto as Bullish Momentum Intensifies
• RSI: 21.15 (oversold)
• MACD: -0.94 (bearish), Signal Line: -0.93 (neutral), Histogram: -0.01 (divergence)
• Bollinger Bands: Upper $18.91, Middle $17.50, Lower $16.10 (current price near upper band)
• 200D MA: $24.58 (far above)

Technical indicators suggest a short-term overbought condition, but the stock’s breakout above the 200D MA and RSI divergence hint at potential continuation. Key levels to watch: $17.50 (Bollinger Middle Band) and $18.91 (Upper Band).

Top Options:
• LI20251226C17 (Call, $17 strike, 12/26 expiry):
- IV: 34.99% (moderate)
- Leverage Ratio: 41.70% (high)
- Delta: 0.56 (moderate sensitivity)
- Theta: -0.069 (rapid time decay)
- Gamma: 0.445 (high sensitivity to price moves)
- Turnover: 12,851 (liquid)
- Payoff (5% up to $17.94): $0.94/share
- Why: High gamma and leverage make this ideal for a breakout.

• LI20251226C17.5 (Call, $17.5 strike, 12/26 expiry):
- IV: 32.18% (moderate)
- Leverage Ratio: 100.56% (very high)
- Delta: 0.327 (moderate sensitivity)
- Theta: -0.046 (moderate decay)
- Gamma: 0.443 (high sensitivity)
- Turnover: 17,363 (liquid)
- Payoff (5% up to $17.94): $0.44/share
- Why: Extreme leverage and gamma for aggressive bulls.

Action: Aggressive bulls may consider LI20251226C17.5 into a test of $17.50, while conservative traders can use LI20251226C17 for a safer breakout play.

Backtest Li Auto Stock Performance
The backtest of LI's performance following a 6% intraday surge from 2022 to the present shows favorable results. The 3-Day win rate is 47.84%, the 10-Day win rate is 48.28%, and the 30-Day win rate is 51.94%, indicating a higher probability of positive returns in the short term. The maximum return during the backtest was 1.29% over 30 days, suggesting that while the returns may not be consistently high, there is a good chance of capturing gains in the immediate aftermath of the intraday surge.

Bullish Breakout Confirmed – Target $17.50 as Li Auto Challenges 52-Week High
The rally is likely to persist if Li Auto sustains above $17.50, with $18.91 as the next target. Short-term traders should monitor the 200D MA ($24.58) for long-term sustainability. The sector’s volatility, driven by tariffs and competition, makes high-gamma options like LI20251226C17.5 compelling. Meanwhile, Tesla’s -0.19% move highlights sector divergence. Watch for $17.50 breakout or a retest of $16.10 support.