Jefferies Financial's 15min chart sees MACD Death Cross, Bollinger Bands Narrowing.

According to the 15-minute chart of Jefferies Financial, a MACD Death Cross and narrowing Bollinger Bands were observed at 09:45 on 18 September 2025. This suggests that the stock price has the potential to continue declining, with a decreasing magnitude of fluctuations.

Summary: On September 18, 2025, at 09:45, the 15-minute chart of Jefferies Financial Group (NYSE: JEF) indicated a MACD Death Cross and narrowing Bollinger Bands, suggesting a potential decline in the stock price with decreasing volatility. This comes amidst reported talks between Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group and Jefferies to increase the former's stake in the latter from 15% to 20%, and discussions to merge parts of their equities businesses in Japan Sumitomo Mitsui Reportedly in Talks to Increase Its Stake in Jefferies Financial Group^[1].

Analysis:
The MACD Death Cross, a technical indicator, occurs when the MACD line crosses below the signal line, indicating a potential bearish trend. The narrowing Bollinger Bands suggest decreasing volatility in the stock price. These signals, combined with the strategic discussions between Sumitomo Mitsui and Jefferies, could influence investor sentiment.

Strategic Moves:
Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group is reportedly in talks to increase its stake in Jefferies Financial Group from 15% to about 20%. This move is part of deepening ties between the companies and could involve acquiring Jefferies' preferred stock. Additionally, discussions are ongoing to merge parts of their equities businesses in Japan Sumitomo Mitsui Reportedly in Talks to Increase Its Stake in Jefferies Financial Group^[1].

Impact on Jefferies:
Jefferies Financial Group recently experienced a price target reduction by Jefferies itself, from $1,650.00 to $1,490.00, while maintaining a Buy rating. This adjustment reflects concerns about lower aftermarket volumes and potential underperformance in mergers and acquisitions. The company's third-quarter earnings for fiscal year 2025 fell short of expectations, with earnings per share at $9.60 versus the forecast of $9.86 TransDigm stock price target lowered to $1,490 by Jefferies on aftermarket concerns^[2].

Market Reaction:
The stock price of Jefferies Financial Group has seen a decrease in trading volume and a lower multiple compared to its peers. The company's Board of Directors announced a special cash dividend of $90.00 per share, set to be paid on September 12, 2025. RBC Capital recently downgraded the stock from Outperform to Sector Perform, citing uncertainty in mergers and acquisitions, while UBS raised its price target to $1,839 TransDigm stock price target lowered to $1,490 by Jefferies on aftermarket concerns^[2].

Conclusion:
The potential decline in Jefferies Financial Group's stock price, indicated by the MACD Death Cross and narrowing Bollinger Bands, aligns with strategic moves by Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group and recent market assessments. Investors should closely monitor these developments and consider the implications for the company's financial performance and stock price.