IonQ aumenta un 12,5% por el impulso del cálculo cuántico: ¿qué alimenta la alza?

Summary
• IonQ (IONQ) surges 12.5% to $54.54, hitting an intraday high of $55.56
• Turnover jumps to 21.75 million shares, with 6.3% of float traded
• Sector peers like Rigetti Computing (RGTI) rally 12.8% as quantum computing stocks gain traction

IonQ’s explosive move on December 22, 2025, has ignited speculation about the quantum computing sector’s momentum. With the stock trading near its 52-week high of $84.64, the rally aligns with broader enthusiasm for quantum tech, despite the company’s lack of profitability. Analysts highlight strategic partnerships and Wall Street’s renewed interest as potential catalysts.

Quantum Computing Sector Rally Drives IonQ's Surge
IonQ’s 12.5% intraday gain coincides with a broader surge in quantum computing stocks, driven by bullish options activity and renewed Wall Street coverage. While no specific company news triggered the move, analysts point to JPMorgan and Jefferies initiating coverage on quantum firms and Wedbush’s $60 price target for IonQ. The stock’s performance mirrors sector momentum, with Rigetti Computing (RGTI) rising 12.8% and leveraged ETFs like IONX and IONL surging 24.7% and 24.6%, respectively. This suggests the rally is fueled by speculative positioning rather than fundamental catalysts.

Quantum Computing Sector Outperforms as IonQ Leads Charge
IonQ’s 12.5% gain outpaces the S&P 500’s 14% annual return but lags Rigetti Computing’s 50% YTD surge. The stock’s rally aligns with sector-wide optimism, as Jefferies and Mizuho initiate coverage with $100 and $90 price targets. However, IonQ’s $17.2 billion market cap and $2,293 price-to-sales ratio highlight its speculative nature compared to peers like D-Wave Quantum (QBTS), which trades at a 335x forward sales multiple. The sector’s volatility underscores its reliance on technological milestones and institutional sentiment.

Options and ETFs Highlight Bullish Momentum Amid Volatility
• RSI: 52.12 (neutral), MACD: -1.395 (bearish), Bollinger Bands: $55.995 (upper), $49.088 (middle)
• 200-day MA: $43.61 (below current price), 30-day MA: $49.33 (below current price)

IonQ’s technicals suggest a short-term bullish breakout above the 200-day MA, with key resistance at $55.995 (Bollinger upper band). The stock’s 12.5% surge has triggered high-liquidity options activity, with leveraged ETFs like Defiance Daily Target 2X Long IONQ ETF (IONX) and GraniteShares 2x Long IONQ Daily ETF (IONL) surging 24.7% and 24.6%, respectively. These ETFs amplify exposure to IonQ’s volatility but carry elevated risk.

Top Options Contracts:
• IONQ20251226C55 (Call, $55 strike, 12/26 expiry):
- IV: 71.95% (high)
- Leverage Ratio: 38.34% (moderate)
- Delta: 0.4376 (moderate sensitivity)
- Theta: -0.3645 (high time decay)
- Gamma: 0.0866 (high sensitivity to price moves)
- Turnover: $559,121 (high liquidity)
This contract offers a 252.50% price change potential if IonQ closes above $55.56 by expiry. Its high gamma and IV make it ideal for aggressive bulls expecting a continuation.

• IONQ20251226C54 (Call, $54 strike, 12/26 expiry):
- IV: 74.04% (high)
- Leverage Ratio: 28.30% (moderate)
- Delta: 0.5246 (moderate sensitivity)
- Theta: -0.4066 (high time decay)
- Gamma: 0.0850 (high sensitivity to price moves)
- Turnover: $348,821 (high liquidity)
This contract provides a 402.63% price change potential if IonQ closes above $54.54 by expiry. Its high IV and moderate delta make it a balanced play for near-term upside.

Payoff Projections:
Assuming a 5% upside to $57.27, IONQ20251226C55 yields a $2.27 gain per contract, while IONQ20251226C54 gains $3.27. Both contracts benefit from IonQ’s breakout above $55.56, with IONQ20251226C55 offering higher leverage for aggressive positioning.

Action Insight: Aggressive bulls may consider IONQ20251226C55 into a break above $55.56, while hedgers could pair it with IONQ20251226P55 for downside protection.

Backtest IonQ Stock Performance
The backtest of IonQ's performance after a 12% intraday increase from 2022 to the present shows favorable results. The 3-day win rate is 51.69%, the 10-day win rate is 55.06%, and the 30-day win rate is 54.85%, indicating a higher probability of positive returns in the short term. The maximum return during the backtest was 19.95%, which occurred on day 59, suggesting that IonQ can deliver significant gains following the intraday surge.

IonQ's Quantum Leap: Position for a Volatile 2026
IonQ’s 12.5% surge reflects the sector’s speculative fervor, driven by Wall Street’s bullish coverage and leveraged ETFs. While the stock’s fundamentals remain weak (negative EBITDA, $2,293 price-to-sales), its trapped-ion technology and strategic partnerships position it as a long-term leader. Investors should monitor the $55.995 Bollinger upper band and 200-day MA ($43.61) for trend confirmation. With Rigetti Computing (RGTI) surging 12.8%, the sector’s momentum suggests continued volatility. Aggressive bulls may consider IONQ20251226C55 into a break above $55.56, while hedgers should watch for a pullback to $49.088 (Bollinger middle band) to re-enter.