Intuit's Strong Q4 Earnings Can't Offset Cautious Outlook as Stock Drops 0.75% Ranks 75th in 1.1B Volume

On September 2, 2025, Intuit (INTU) declined 0.75% with a trading volume of $1.11 billion, ranking 75th in market activity. The stock faced mixed sentiment following a strong Q4 fiscal 2025 performance but cautious forward guidance. KeyBanc maintained an Overweight rating on Intuit despite reducing its price target to $825 from $850, citing tighter pricing comparisons and ongoing Mailchimp challenges expected to reduce growth by 150 basis points in fiscal 2026. However, core segments like QuickBooks Online and midmarket ecosystems showed resilience, with 18% and 40% revenue growth, respectively.

Analysts highlighted Intuit’s $2.75 earnings per share (EPS) in Q4, exceeding estimates, and a 20% revenue increase to $3.83 billion. Despite strong free cash flow margins of 32.3%, the company guided for Q1 revenue growth of 14–15%, below the 16.1% forecast, due to weaker Mailchimp demand. Bank of America and RBC maintained Buy/Outperform ratings, while Citigroup and Morgan Stanley trimmed price targets but retained positive outlooks. UBS adopted a more cautious stance with a Neutral rating and $725 target.

Investor sentiment was further pressured by conservative full-year revenue guidance of $21–21.2 billion and EPS projections, sparking a sell-off. Strategic focus on AI integration and TurboTax growth remains key for long-term potential, though near-term execution risks persist. Institutional ownership remains robust at 83.66%, reflecting continued confidence in the company’s market position.

Backtest results indicate that Intuit’s stock closed at $661.78 on September 2, 2025, with a 5.3% year-to-date gain from $628.50. The P/E ratio of 48.16 was below sector averages, and short interest rose 0.64% to 1.73%, signaling waning bullish momentum.