Intel aumenta en un 7.93% debido al respaldo de Trump y a los cambios estratégicos realizados por la empresa. ¿Podrá este impulso continuar?

Summary
• Intel (INTC) rockets 10.46% intraday to $45.41, hitting its 52-week high of $45.53
• Trump’s Truth Social post hails CEO Lip-Bu Tan and U.S. government’s $19B stake
• 52W price range spans $17.67 to $45.53, with turnover surging to 147.8M shares

Intel’s meteoric rise Friday is fueled by President Trump’s endorsement of CEO Lip-Bu Tan and the U.S. government’s $19B stake in the chipmaker. The stock’s 10% gain—its largest intraday move since the CHIPS Act investment—has ignited a broader semiconductor rally, with leveraged ETFs like INTW and LINT surging 20% and 19%, respectively. The move underscores a pivotal shift in investor sentiment toward domestic chip manufacturing and AI-driven demand.

Trump’s Endorsement Ignites Bullish Momentum
Intel’s 10% surge is directly tied to President Trump’s Thursday Truth Social post, where he praised CEO Lip-Bu Tan and lauded the U.S. government’s $8.9B investment in Intel. Trump’s rhetoric—emphasizing 'leading-edge chip manufacturing back to America'—catalyzed a 9.4% jump in shares to $44.99 pre-market. The CEO’s recent announcement of shipping 18A processors and Trump’s reversal of earlier criticism of Tan’s Chinese ties further solidified investor confidence. The U.S. stake, now worth $19B, has transformed Intel into a political and economic symbol of domestic tech revival.

Semiconductor Sector Rallies on Trump-Driven Sentiment
The semiconductor sector mirrored Intel’s gains, with AMD (AMD) rising 0.03% despite its -0.039% intraday dip. Broader chipmakers like Broadcom (AVGO) and Micron (MU) also advanced, reflecting a sector-wide optimism around U.S. manufacturing policies. However, Intel’s 10% move far outpaced peers, highlighting its unique position as the government’s flagship investment. The sector’s rally underscores a shift in risk appetite toward AI infrastructure and geopolitical alignment.

Leveraged ETFs and Options Playbook for the Bull Run
• 200-day average: 27.86 (well below current price)
• RSI: 74.71 (overbought territory)
• MACD: 0.665 (bullish divergence)
• Bollinger Bands: Price at 41.96 (upper band), 38.03 (middle), 34.10 (lower)

Intel’s technicals scream short-term bullish momentum, with RSI near overbought and MACD surging above the signal line. The 52W high of $45.53 is now a critical resistance level. For leveraged exposure, GraniteShares 2x Long INTC Daily ETF (INTW) and Direxion Daily INTC Bull 2X ETF (LINT) offer 20.67% and 19.60% gains, respectively, amplifying the stock’s 10% move. However, options traders should focus on high-leverage, short-dated contracts with moderate deltas and strong gamma/theta profiles.

Top Option 1: INTC20260116C44
• Code: INTC20260116C44
• Type: Call
• Strike: $44
• Expiry: 2026-01-16
• IV: 58.79% (moderate)
• LVR: 18.23% (high)
• Delta: 0.677 (moderate)
• Theta: -0.2376 (high decay)
• Gamma: 0.0904 (high sensitivity)
• Turnover: 3.6M (liquid)
• Payoff at 5% upside ($47.68): $3.68 per contract
• Ideal for aggressive bulls capitalizing on momentum.

Top Option 2: INTC20260116C45
• Code: INTC20260116C45
• Type: Call
• Strike: $45
• Expiry: 2026-01-16
• IV: 59.38% (moderate)
• LVR: 23.74% (high)
• Delta: 0.5798 (moderate)
• Theta: -0.2263 (high decay)
• Gamma: 0.0976 (high sensitivity)
• Turnover: 8.1M (liquid)
• Payoff at 5% upside ($47.68): $2.68 per contract
• Balances leverage with lower delta for a safer bullish bet.

Aggressive bulls should prioritize INTC20260116C44 into a break above $45.53.

Backtest Intel Stock Performance
The backtest of Intel's performance after a 10% intraday surge from 2022 to the present shows mixed results. While the 3-day and 10-day win rates are above 45%, the 30-day win rate is slightly higher at 50.73%, indicating a higher probability of positive returns in the short term. However, the maximum return during the backtest period was only 1.17%, which suggests that even though there is a higher chance of positive returns, the overall returns have been modest.

Seize the Bull Run: Intel’s 52W High in Sight
Intel’s 10% surge is a testament to the power of political alignment and AI-driven demand. With RSI near overbought and MACD surging, the 52W high of $45.53 is a critical psychological level. A break above this could trigger a parabolic move, especially with leveraged ETFs like INTW and LINT amplifying gains. Meanwhile, AMD’s -0.039% dip highlights sector divergence, but Intel’s government-backed narrative remains dominant. Watch for a close above $45.53 or a breakdown below $41.57 to confirm the trend.