Inflection Point's 15min chart shows SMA20 downward turn triggered.

The 15-minute chart for Inflection Point has recently triggered a downward trend, as the short-term moving average (20 days) has turned downward. This shift in market sentiment indicates a loss of control by the buyers, who are now facing pressure from sellers, resulting in a short-term price decline.

As of July 2, 2025, XRP's 15-minute chart has exhibited a notable downward trend, with the 20-day short-term moving average (STMA) turning downward. This shift in market sentiment indicates a loss of control by buyers, who are now facing pressure from sellers, resulting in a short-term price decline.

The technical landscape for XRP in August 2025 is complex and multifaceted. Bullish patterns such as the double-bottom and symmetrical triangle suggest a potential rebound above $3.00, which could trigger a move toward $4.00–$4.40. However, these signals are juxtaposed against bearish divergence and weak on-chain metrics, which highlight the risks of a deeper correction.

Bearish divergence, as evidenced by the RSI and MACD indicators, has shown a classic bearish divergence on the weekly chart, historically preceding extended corrections. Additionally, the on-chain data paints a grim picture, with weekly active addresses plummeting and whale sales overwhelming liquidity. Price action has also failed to hold key levels, with XRP breaking below $3.40 resistance and consolidating between $2.86 and $3.15.

The 20-day STMA turning downward suggests that buyers are losing their grip on the market, with sellers exerting increasing pressure. This downward trend indicates a potential short-term price decline, which could be exacerbated by macroeconomic factors or regulatory headwinds.

Investors must monitor the $2.95–$3.00 support level to assess the potential for a deeper correction. A sustained break above $3.14 could signal a bullish pennant pattern, potentially unlocking $4.00–$4.40 targets. Conversely, a breakdown below $2.95 could expose XRP to $2.40–$2.24, highlighting the elevated risks.

For short-term traders, monitoring the $2.95–$3.00 range is crucial. A rebound above $3.14 with elevated volume could signal a short squeeze, while a breakdown below $2.95 warrants caution. Long-term investors may consider accumulating near $2.80–$2.95, provided Ripple continues to resolve regulatory issues and expand real-world adoption.

Institutional inflows and declining Bitcoin correlation suggest that XRP is increasingly driven by its own fundamentals. However, these tailwinds are contingent on Ripple's legal progress and macroeconomic stability.

In conclusion, XRP's August 2025 price action reflects a tug-of-war between bullish exhaustion and bearish momentum. The downward trend in the 15-minute chart, as indicated by the 20-day STMA, suggests a potential short-term price decline. Investors must weigh the likelihood of a $3.00–$3.14 breakout against the threat of a $2.24 breakdown. The inflection point is near, and the outcome could redefine XRP's trajectory for months to come.

References:
[1] https://www.ainvest.com/news/xrp-impending-price-inflection-point-technical-chain-signals-suggest-critical-juncture-2508/