Indonesia Braces for Rupiah Stability as Trump's Policies Loom

Indonesia, the world's fourth most populous country, is preparing to intervene in its currency market as US President Donald Trump's policies threaten to strengthen the US dollar and weaken the rupiah. Bank Indonesia (BI) has announced a three-pronged strategy to maintain stability in the face of geopolitical and economic challenges.


The rupiah has been under pressure in recent months due to a combination of factors, including solid US economic data, Middle East conflicts, and the Federal Reserve's aggressive rate cuts. These developments have led to a risk-off sentiment, with investors pulling back from emerging markets and the dollar strengthening. The rupiah has depreciated against the dollar, reaching Rp16.176 per dollar on Tuesday, April 16.

BI's intervention strategy aims to balance supply-demand of foreign currency, enhance the appeal of Rupiah assets, and coordinate with key stakeholders. Edi Susianto, head of BI's Monetary Management Department, confirmed that the central bank will focus on spot and domestic non-deliverable forward (DNDF) markets. Additionally, BI will work to increase the attractiveness of Rupiah assets, such as Sekuritas Rupiah Bank Indonesia (SRBI), and reduce hedging costs.


Perry Warjiyo, Governor of Bank Indonesia, reassured investors that the central bank remains vigilant and committed to maintaining Rupiah stability. He emphasized that BI will continue to intervene in both spot and non-delivery forward markets, as well as coordinate with the government and other stakeholders to manage the situation.

Indonesia's preparations to intervene in the currency market come as the country faces potential challenges from Trump's policies. A stronger US dollar can negatively impact Indonesian exports' competitiveness and the country's trade balance. To mitigate these effects, Indonesia could consider diversifying its trade partners, promoting exports, and managing imports strategically.

In conclusion, Indonesia is ready to intervene to stabilize the rupiah as Trump's policies loom. BI's three-pronged strategy, focusing on balancing foreign exchange supply-demand, enhancing Rupiah asset appeal, and coordinating with stakeholders, is crucial for maintaining macroeconomic stability. As the US dollar strengthens, Indonesia must remain adaptable and flexible in its policy-making to support growth and stability.