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Summary
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Hut 8’s 13.27% intraday rally has ignited a frenzy among traders and investors, fueled by a landmark AI infrastructure deal and a wave of analyst upgrades. The stock’s surge to $43.71—up from a morning low of $40.0—reflects a dramatic pivot from
mining to AI data center dominance. With Fluidstack’s 15-year, $7B lease and Google’s financial guarantee, 8 is redefining its narrative as a high-performance computing (HPC) leader. Analysts from Rosenblatt to Keefe Bruyette have raised price targets to $65–$80, while options volatility and ETF inflows suggest a volatile but bullish near-term outlook.Data Center REITs Rally on AI Demand, but Hut 8 Outpaces Peers
The Data Center REIT sector has benefited from AI-driven demand, with Digital Realty (DLR) and Prologis (PLD) seeing renewed interest. However, Hut 8’s 13.27% intraday gain far outpaces sector peers, who trade in a 1%–3% range. This divergence highlights Hut 8’s unique positioning: its Fluidstack deal includes a Google backstop and expansion rights, differentiating it from generic REITs. While Digital Realty’s DCF analysis suggests undervaluation, Hut 8’s AI-specific narrative and high leverage to AI compute growth justify its premium valuation.
Options and ETFs to Capitalize on HUT's Volatility
• MACD: -0.70 (bearish divergence), Signal Line: -0.33, Histogram: -0.37
• RSI: 40.78 (oversold), Bollinger Bands: 48.29 (upper), 40.71 (middle), 33.13 (lower)
• 30D MA: 40.73 (above price), 200D MA: 26.05 (far below)
• Support/Resistance: 39.93–40.20 (30D), 12.41–13.30 (200D)
Hut 8’s technicals suggest a short-term bearish trend but long-term bullish setup. The stock is trading near its 30D MA and above its 200D MA, with RSI in oversold territory. Key levels to watch include the intraday high of $44.57 and the 200D MA at $26.05. Aggressive bulls may consider and , which offer high leverage and liquidity. The Grayscale Bitcoin Miners ETF (MNRS) and Direxion Daily Crypto Industry Bull 2X Shares (LMBO) could amplify exposure to Hut 8’s AI-driven rally.
Top Options Picks:
• HUT20251226C42:
- Strike: $42, Expiration: 2025-12-26, IV: 92.32%, Leverage: 12.57%, Delta: 0.66, Theta: -0.269, Gamma: 0.061, Turnover: 71,860
- IV (high volatility), Leverage (amplifies gains), Delta (moderate directional sensitivity), Theta (rapid time decay), Gamma (high sensitivity to price swings).
- This call option offers explosive potential if Hut 8 breaks above $44.57, with a 5% upside payoff of $2.19 per contract.
• HUT20251226C43:
- Strike: $43, Expiration: 2025-12-26, IV: 75.85%, Leverage: 17.53%, Delta: 0.61, Theta: -0.243, Gamma: 0.078, Turnover: 81,259
- IV (moderate volatility), Leverage (high amplification), Delta (balanced directional bias), Theta (significant time decay), Gamma (strong price sensitivity).
- This contract balances risk and reward, ideal for a continuation of the current bullish momentum. A 5% upside yields $1.89 per contract.
Aggressive bulls may consider HUT20251226C42 into a bounce above $44.57.
Backtest Hut 8 Stock Performance
The strategy that involves a 13% intraday surge from 2022 to the present has shown poor performance. The strategy's CAGR is -3.99%, with a maximum drawdown of 0.00% and a Sharpe ratio of -0.07, indicating significant risk and losses.
Hut 8’s AI Gambit: Ride the Wave or Watch the Risks?
Hut 8’s 13.27% surge is a testament to its AI infrastructure pivot, but sustainability hinges on execution risks at River Bend and Anthropic’s expansion. The stock’s technicals suggest a short-term consolidation near $43.71 before testing the $44.57 intraday high. Analysts’ $55–$80 price targets imply 28%–83% upside, but volatility remains high. Investors should monitor the Grayscale Bitcoin Miners ETF (MNRS), which rose 8.31%, for sector sentiment. If Hut 8 breaks above $44.57, the HUT20251226C42 call option could deliver outsized returns. However, a breakdown below $40.0 would signal caution. Watch for $44.57 breakout or execution risks at River Bend.
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Titulares diarios de acciones y criptomonedas, gratis en tu bandeja de entrada