Howmet Aerospace (HWM) experimenta un aumento del 3.6% gracias al impulso del sector de defensa y a las esperanzas de realizar adquisiciones estratégicas.

Summary
• Howmet Aerospace (HWM) jumps 3.6% to $217.64, hitting a 52-week high of $219.38
• Analysts at Baird, Bernstein, and BofA raise price targets, citing strong aerospace demand and guidance
• Intraday range of $212.03 to $219.38 reflects heightened volatility amid sector optimism

Howmet Aerospace’s stock surged to a 52-week high on January 9, 2026, driven by a wave of analyst upgrades and robust sector dynamics. The rally, fueled by Baird’s $310 price target and broader industry momentum, underscores investor confidence in the aerospace and defense sector. With the stock trading near its intraday peak, the move highlights a confluence of upgraded expectations and strategic market positioning.

Analyst Upgrades and Sector Optimism Fuel HWM's Rally
Howmet’s 3.6% intraday gain was catalyzed by a coordinated upgrade from Baird, Bernstein, and BofA Securities, which raised price targets to $310, $225+, and $225 respectively. These moves followed the company’s recent financial results, including a 36% jump in adjusted EPS and raised full-year guidance. While the Forged Wheels segment’s 1% revenue dip in Q2 had previously triggered a 10.2% selloff, today’s rally reflects renewed focus on the company’s commercial and defense aerospace growth. Analysts emphasized Howmet’s potential to capture market share amid sustained demand for aerospace components, positioning the stock as a beneficiary of long-term sector tailwinds.

Aerospace & Defense Sector Gains Momentum as LMT Surges 5.08%
The Aerospace & Defense sector, led by Lockheed Martin’s (LMT) 5.08% intraday gain, provided a tailwind for Howmet’s rally. LMT’s performance, driven by its role in the F-35 program and defense spending optimism, reinforced sector-wide confidence. Howmet’s 3.6% move, while smaller in magnitude, aligns with broader industry trends, including increased military procurement and commercial aerospace recovery. The sector’s resilience, highlighted by recent news on lunar exploration contracts and AI-driven defense tech, suggests a structural shift toward long-term growth.

Options and ETF Plays for HWM’s Volatility and Sector Momentum
• Technical Indicators: 200-day MA at $178.34 (below), 30-day MA at $202.33 (below), RSI at 72.17 (overbought), MACD at 3.51 (bullish), Bollinger Bands upper at $219.95 (near)
• Key Levels: Resistance at $219.95 (Bollinger upper), support at $204.77 (30-day MA). Short-term overbought conditions suggest a pullback risk, but long-term bullish trends persist.

Top Options:
• HWM20260116C220 (Call, $220 strike, Jan 16):
- IV: 28.05% (moderate), Leverage Ratio: 70.99%, Delta: 0.457 (moderate), Theta: -0.706 (high decay), Gamma: 0.0437 (sensitive), Turnover: 12,718
- Payoff: At 5% upside ($230), payoff = $10.00 per contract. High leverage and moderate delta make this ideal for a controlled rally.
- Why: Balances risk and reward with high gamma for price sensitivity and moderate IV to avoid overpricing.
• HWM20260116C225 (Call, $225 strike, Jan 16):
- IV: 28.28% (moderate), Leverage Ratio: 155.07%, Delta: 0.260 (low), Theta: -0.461 (high decay), Gamma: 0.0355 (moderate), Turnover: 3,171
- Payoff: At 5% upside ($230), payoff = $5.00 per contract. High leverage amplifies returns if the rally continues.
- Why: Aggressive play for a breakout above $225, leveraging high leverage and moderate gamma for directional bets.

ETF Note: No leveraged ETF data available, but sector momentum suggests a bullish bias. Aggressive bulls may consider HWM20260116C220 into a bounce above $219.95.

Backtest Howmet Aerospace Stock Performance
The backtest of HWM's performance after a 4% intraday surge from 2022 to the present shows favorable results. The 3-Day win rate is 56.04%, the 10-Day win rate is 60.44%, and the 30-Day win rate is 69.96%, indicating a higher probability of positive returns in the short term. The maximum return during the backtest was 11.29% over 30 days, suggesting that HWM can deliver decent gains following a significant intraday surge.

Howmet’s Rally Gains Legs—Watch $219.95 and Sector Catalysts
Howmet’s 3.6% rally to a 52-week high reflects a convergence of analyst optimism and sector strength, with LMT’s 5.08% surge reinforcing aerospace and defense momentum. While short-term overbought conditions (RSI 72.17) hint at a potential pullback, the stock’s long-term bullish setup—supported by a 30-day MA at $202.33 and a 200-day MA at $178.34—suggests resilience. Investors should monitor the $219.95 Bollinger upper bound and $204.77 30-day MA for key directional cues. With the sector poised for growth amid defense spending and AI-driven innovation, Howmet’s strategic positioning makes it a compelling play for those betting on aerospace’s next phase.