Howmet Aerospace's 15min Chart Displays MACD Death Cross & Narrowing Bollinger Bands

Based on the 15-minute chart for Howmet Aerospace, the MACD has crossed below the signal line, indicating a potential decline in stock price. Furthermore, the Bollinger Bands have narrowed, suggesting a decrease in the magnitude of stock price fluctuations. This suggests that the stock may continue to fall, with the magnitude of price movements becoming less pronounced.

July 02, 2025

Howmet Aerospace (HWM) has exhibited significant bearish signals on its 15-minute chart, indicating a potential downward trend in its stock price. According to the latest technical analysis, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) has crossed below its signal line, a classic bearish indicator [1]. Additionally, the Bollinger Bands have narrowed, suggesting a decrease in the magnitude of price fluctuations.

The MACD Death Cross, which occurs when the MACD line crosses below the signal line, is a strong bearish signal that indicates a potential reversal in the stock's upward trend [1]. This is further supported by the narrowing of the Bollinger Bands, which typically signals a period of lower volatility or a potential reversal in the stock's trend [2]. These technical indicators collectively suggest that Howmet Aerospace's stock price may continue to decline, and investors should exercise caution.

The recent market activity for Howmet Aerospace has been characterized by heightened volatility and a significant price drop. On August 15, 2025, the stock fell by 2.69% to $170.90, with a trading volume of $560 million, a 58.86% increase from the prior day [3]. The stock's 32.18 RSI reading signaled oversold conditions, but a bearish MACD of -0.63 and compressed Bollinger Bands suggested caution for near-term rebounds [3].

Historical backtests of Howmet Aerospace's performance following sharp declines have shown mixed short-term outcomes. After intraday drops exceeding 3%, the stock showed a 62.50% win rate over three days with an average return of 1.16% [3]. The 10-day win rate improved to 68.10%, averaging 2.88% returns, while the 30-day period yielded a 7.05% average gain with a 73.32% success rate [3]. The maximum observed return of 13.01% occurred on day 59 post-dip, indicating potential for recovery over medium-term horizons [3].

Investors should closely monitor Howmet Aerospace for any reversal signs or significant news that could shift the momentum. It is advisable to wait for a potential pull-back or clearer technical signals before entering long positions. The bearish signals on the 15-minute chart indicate that the stock price may continue to fall, and investors should be cautious about entering new positions.

References:
[1] https://www.ainvest.com/news/dynamix-15min-chart-shows-macd-death-cross-bollinger-bands-narrowing-2508/
[2] https://www.ainvest.com/news/macd-death-cross-bollinger-bands-narrowing-signal-15-minute-chart-2508/
[3] https://www.ainvest.com/news/howmet-shares-drop-2-69-surging-volume-182nd-market-activity-aukus-review-fuels-uncertainty-hints-medium-term-recovery-potential-2508/