HIMS Plummets 6.5% Amid Regulatory Fallout and Legal Storms: What's Next for the Digital Health Giant?
Summary
• Hims & Hers HealthHIMS-- (HIMS) trades at $61.86, down 6.53% from its $66.18 previous close
• Intraday range spans $61.69 (low) to $66.175 (high) with $23.37M turnover
• Class action lawsuits allege deceptive marketing of Wegovy® knockoffs and FDA safety concerns
• Options chain shows explosive implied volatility (142.88%-155.71%) and leveraged gamma exposure
• Sector leader UnitedHealth GroupUNH-- (UNH) also declines 5.2% amid broader healthcare sector turbulence
Today’s dramatic selloff in HIMS reflects a perfect storm of regulatory scrutiny, legal exposure, and investor panic over its GLP-1 drug strategy. With the stock trading near its 200-day low ($27.69) and options volatility spiking to 149.68%, this is a pivotal moment for investors weighing short-term speculation against long-term fundamentals.
Regulatory Backlash and Legal Exposure Trigger HIMS' Sharp Decline
The collapse in HIMS shares stems from a combination of regulatory overreach allegations and terminated partnerships. Novo NordiskNVO-- abruptly ended its collaboration with Hims & Hers after accusing the company of 'sham compounding' of Wegovy® through deceptive marketing of knockoff GLP-1 drugs. This was followed by a bipartisan group of 80+ lawmakers urging the FDA to crack down on 'illegal' compounded weight-loss drugs, directly targeting HIMS' business model. Concurrently, two class action lawsuits allege the company misled investors about its regulatory compliance and GLP-1 strategy, with one filing claiming 'deceptive promotion of illegitimate Wegovy® alternatives.' These events created a liquidity crisis as short-sellers and panic sellers flooded the market, dragging the stock 6.5% below its 52-week low of $13.47.
Options Playbook: Leveraging Volatility with Gamma-Driven Puts
• MACD: 3.16 (bullish divergence), Signal Line: 1.45 (bearish crossover), Histogram: 1.71 (expanding bearishness)
• RSI: 78.48 (overbought but diverging), Bollinger Bands: $65.12 (upper), $41.95 (lower) (oversold territory)
• 200-day MA: $38.17 (far below current price), 30-day MA: $52.11 (key support/resistance)
• Gamma: 0.0274-0.0302 (high sensitivity to price moves), Theta: -0.1021 to -0.5112 (accelerating time decay)
• IV Ratio: 119.27%-155.71% (extreme volatility)
Top Options Picks:
• HIMS20250808P60 (Put): $60 strike, 146.90% IV, 14.35% leverage, -0.3963 delta, -0.1669 theta, 0.028589 gamma, $1.008M turnover. This put contract offers high leverage (14.35%) and gamma (0.0286) to capitalize on a 5% downside move (projected $58.77 price) with 34.37% potential payoff.
• HIMS20250808P61 (Put): $61 strike, 146.99% IV, 12.86% leverage, -0.4259 delta, -0.1599 theta, 0.029064 gamma, $1.120M turnover. This put provides balanced risk/reward with 31.86% projected payoff under 5% downside scenario, supported by high gamma (0.0291) for volatility amplification.
Trading Setup: Key support levels at $50.33 (30-day range) and $28.70 (200-day range) demand attention. With RSI at 78.48 (overbought) and MACD diverging, short-term bears should focus on the $60-61 put chain for leveraged exposure. Aggressive bulls might test the $52.11 30-day MA as a potential short-term floor, but options buyers should prioritize liquidity in the August 8 expiration cycle.
Backtest Hims & Hers Health Stock Performance
HIMS has historically shown positive performance after experiencing a -7% intraday plunge. The 3-Day win rate is 52.19%, the 10-Day win rate is 53.70%, and the 30-Day win rate is 55.89%, indicating that the stock tends to recover in the short term following such events. The maximum return observed was 16.84% over 30 days, suggesting that there is potential for significant gains in the aftermath of a substantial pullback.
HIMS at Inflection Point: Watch for $50.33 Support and Sector Leader UNH's Direction
The selloff in HIMS has created a high-volatility trading environment with clear options opportunities for both bears and bulls. With the stock trading near its 200-day low and sector leader UnitedHealth Group (UNH) down 5.2%, investors must weigh regulatory risks against potential rebounds in the GLP-1 market. Immediate technical levels to monitor include $50.33 (30-day support) and $28.70 (200-day support). Options traders should prioritize the $60-61 put chain for leveraged exposure, while long-term investors should await clarity on the class action lawsuits and FDA response. For now, the message is clear: volatility is here to stay, and the next 10 days will determine HIMS' near-term trajectory.
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