Hecla Mining se revaloriza 6,6% en la subida del oro entre la esperanza de una reducción de tasas y las tensiones geopolíticas

Summary
• Hecla Mining (HL) surges 6.59% to $20.285, hitting its 52-week high of $20.57
• Gold and silver near record highs as U.S. inflation data fuels rate-cut speculation
• Sector leader Newmont (NEM) gains 2.35%, while leveraged ETFs like SLVP jump 4.34%

Hecla Mining’s intraday rally mirrors a broader gold sector surge driven by softer U.S. inflation data and geopolitical tensions. With gold trading near $4,330/oz and silver at $66.89, investors are betting on Fed easing and safe-haven demand. HL’s 6.6% move reflects its role as a junior miner in a sector poised for further gains.

Gold Sector Rally Drives Hecla Mining's Intraday Surge
Hecla Mining’s 6.59% intraday jump aligns with gold’s record highs, fueled by U.S. inflation data showing a 2.7% annual rise in November—the slowest pace since 2021. This softness has boosted expectations for Fed rate cuts, with markets pricing a 25% chance of a January cut. Geopolitical tensions, including U.S. sanctions on Venezuela and Russian territorial claims in Ukraine, have amplified gold’s safe-haven appeal. As a junior miner, HL benefits from both rising gold prices and central bank demand, with Goldman Sachs projecting gold to reach $4,900/oz by late 2026.

Gold Sector Mixed as Hecla Mining Outpaces Peers
While Hecla Mining’s 6.6% surge outpaces the sector’s average, Newmont (NEM) rose 2.35%, reflecting divergent performances among gold miners. Leveraged ETFs like the iShares Global Silver and Metals Miners ETF (SLVP) gained 4.34%, while the Amplify Junior Silver Miners ETF (SILJ) jumped 4.75%. HL’s aggressive move underscores its sensitivity to gold price swings and speculative positioning, contrasting with larger, more diversified peers like NEM.

Bullish Setup: ETFs and Options for a Gold-Driven Rally
• MACD: 1.33 (above signal line 1.18), RSI: 64.37 (neutral), Bollinger Bands: $20.71 (upper), $16.95 (middle), 200D MA: $8.89 (far below)

Hecla Mining’s technicals confirm a short- and long-term bullish trend. The stock is trading near its 52-week high and above all key moving averages, with RSI in neutral territory. The iShares Global Silver and Metals Miners ETF (SLVP) and SPDR Metals & Mining ETF (XME) offer leveraged exposure to the sector’s momentum. For options, two contracts stand out:

• HL20251226C20: Call option with strike $20, expiring Dec 26. IV: 61.10% (moderate), Leverage Ratio: 22.11%, Delta: 0.595, Theta: -0.101, Gamma: 0.211, Turnover: 41,298. High leverage and moderate delta suggest strong upside potential if gold prices hold. A 5% upside to $21.30 would yield a $1.30 payoff.
• HL20251226C20.5: Call option with strike $20.5, expiring Dec 26. IV: 57.98% (moderate), Leverage Ratio: 32.29%, Delta: 0.485, Theta: -0.090, Gamma: 0.228, Turnover: 18,660. High gamma and leverage make it ideal for a breakout above $20.50. A 5% move would generate a $0.80 payoff.

Aggressive bulls should target a break above $20.50, with a stop-loss near the 200D MA at $8.89. The sector’s structural tailwinds—central bank demand and Fed easing—justify a bullish bias.

Backtest Hecla Mining Stock Performance
The backtest of HL's performance after a 7% intraday increase from 2022 to now shows favorable results. The 3-Day win rate is 52.83%, the 10-Day win rate is 57.69%, and the 30-Day win rate is 63.97%, indicating a higher probability of positive returns in the short term. The maximum return during the backtest was 10.32%, which occurred on day 59, suggesting that HL can deliver significant gains following a 7% intraday surge.

Bullish Momentum Unlikely to Subside as Gold Sector Gains Steam
Hecla Mining’s 6.6% surge reflects a confluence of gold’s record highs, Fed rate-cut expectations, and geopolitical risks. With technicals aligned for a continuation and leveraged ETFs like SLVP surging, the stock is well-positioned to outperform. Investors should monitor the 52-week high of $20.57 and the sector leader Newmont (NEM), which rose 2.35%. A sustained break above $20.50 could trigger a retest of the $21.30 level, offering a clear path for aggressive bulls to capitalize on the gold rally.