Gravity/Tether GUSDT Market Overview for 2025-09-19

• Gravity/Tether (GUSDT) traded in a tightening range, with price action consolidating near 0.01157–0.01162.
• Momentum appears to weaken after an early bullish push, with RSI approaching neutral territory.
• Volatility dipped mid-day before surging in the late hours, signaling increased speculative activity.
• A key support zone formed around 0.0114–0.01153, with multiple candle closures testing but not breaking the level.
• Turnover spiked late in the session, coinciding with a sharp decline in price—suggestive of profit-taking or dumping.

Gravity/Tether (GUSDT) opened at 0.01159 on 2025-09-18 12:00 ET, reached a high of 0.01166, and closed at 0.01113 by 2025-09-19 12:00 ET. Total volume over the period was 69,287,483.0, with notional turnover at $779,976.16. The price moved in a choppy pattern, with a late-day breakdown from consolidation.

Structure & Formations

Over the past 24 hours, GUSDT displayed a bearish breakdown from a narrow consolidation pattern that formed between 0.01156 and 0.01166. A key support level emerged around 0.0114–0.01153, where price tested the level multiple times, forming bearish pinocchio and dark cloud cover patterns. The breakdown below 0.01157 appears to have been confirmed by a long-bodied bearish candle at 03:45 ET and a following session of progressively lower closes.

Moving Averages

On the 15-minute chart, GUSDT closed below both the 20 and 50-period moving averages, with price sitting near the lower half of the Bollinger Bands. This indicates a short-term bearish bias. Over the daily timeframe, the 50/100/200 EMA alignment has shifted bearish, with price now trading below all three. This alignment suggests further downward momentum unless a strong reversal occurs near 0.01145.

MACD & RSI

The 15-minute MACD showed a bearish crossover and negative momentum, reinforcing the bearish bias. RSI dropped from 64 at the start of the session to 39 by close, suggesting a possible oversold condition near the 0.01113 level. However, RSI is still within the neutral range, indicating that a bounce may be possible without a full reversal of the bearish trend.

Bollinger Bands

Volatility remained constrained until the late hours, when it expanded sharply after the breakdown of the consolidation pattern. Price closed near the lower Bollinger Band, indicating a potential oversold condition. If support at 0.0114 holds, price may find a temporary floor, but a break below this could lead to further downside toward the 0.0113–0.01115 range.

Volume & Turnover

Volume spiked in the late hours, especially between 03:45 and 05:00 ET, aligning with the sharp breakdown in price. The volume-to-turnover divergence suggests increased shorting activity or profit-taking from longs. A significant volume expansion in the final hours confirms the bearish breakdown and could indicate the formation of a new short-term bearish trend.

Fibonacci Retracements

Applying Fibonacci retracement levels to the 15-minute swing from 0.01156 to 0.01166, key levels of 0.0116 (38.2%) and 0.01157 (61.8%) acted as resistance and failed to hold. On the daily chart, the 0.01145 level represents a 61.8% retracement of the previous bullish move from 0.01116 to 0.01148 and now functions as a critical support zone.

Backtest Hypothesis

A potential backtest strategy could focus on detecting a bearish breakout from a consolidation pattern, confirmed by a close below the 20-period moving average and a bearish MACD crossover. Given the 2025-09-19 breakdown, a long-term bearish position could have been triggered on the 15-minute chart as early as 03:45 ET. A stop-loss could have been placed above the 0.01158 resistance, with a target near 0.0112–0.01115. This approach would have captured the full downward move of the day with a strong risk-to-reward ratio.

Market Outlook & Risk Caveat

Looking ahead, GUSDT appears to be in a short-term bearish trend, with a key support level forming near 0.0114–0.01153. A close below this range could accelerate the downward move. However, traders should remain cautious of a potential bounce from this support, especially if volume declines and RSI shows signs of oversold conditions. Volatility may increase further if there are macroeconomic announcements or broader market corrections in the next 24 hours.