Summary • FTAI Aviation’s Q3 2025 earnings miss EPS expectations despite $667M revenue • Dividend hike to $0.35/share and $2B capital initiative announced • Stock trades at 163.58, down 5.29% intraday with 52W range of 75.06–194.36FTAI Aviation’s sharp selloff reflects investor skepticism over earnings shortfalls and long-term strategic risks. The stock’s 5.3% drop to 163.58—its lowest since October—highlights concerns about legacy engine reliance amid a $2B capital expansion. With a 28% year-over-year EBITDA surge but a 7.7% earnings shortfall, the market is weighing management’s confidence in cash flow against looming technological disruptions. <visualization dataUrl="https://cdn.ainvest.com/news/visual/visual_components/viz_vnmmm6zj.json"></visualization> Q3 Earnings Disappointment and Legacy Engine Concerns Drive Sharp Selloff FTAI Aviation’s Q3 2025 results revealed a $1.10 EPS miss against $1.21 estimates, despite $667M revenue and $297M adjusted EBITDA. The dividend increase to $0.35/share and $2B capital initiative signaled short-term confidence, but analysts flagged risks from legacy engine dependence. The Aerospace Products segment’s 77% EBITDA growth contrasted with Aviation Leasing’s asset-light pivot, yet fears of next-gen engine obsolescence and supply chain bottlenecks overshadowed near-term gains. The 5.3% intraday drop reflects a tug-of-war between bullish capital deployment and bearish sector headwinds.Aerospace & Defense Sector Volatile as Boeing Slides 2.08% – FTAI’s Strategic Moves Under Scrutiny The Aerospace & Defense sector remains volatile, with Boeing (BA) down 2.08% on concerns over 777X delays and labor strikes. FTAI’s 5.3% decline outpaces sector peers, highlighting its exposure to niche engine maintenance markets. While Boeing’s struggles reflect broader manufacturing risks, FTAI’s selloff stems from sector-specific fears—legacy engine obsolescence and capital-intensive expansion. The sector’s mixed performance underscores divergent investor sentiment between established manufacturers and agile leasing firms.Options and ETF Strategies for Navigating FTAI’s Volatility • MACD: 2.78 (Signal: 3.23, Histogram: -0.44) – bearish divergence • RSI: 51.4 – neutral • Bollinger Bands: 161.84 (Lower) – 185.82 (Upper) – price near support • 200D MA: 128.89 – 163.58 is 26% aboveFTAI’s technicals suggest a short-term bearish trend but long-term bullish setup. Key levels to watch: 162.06 (Intraday Low) and 169.62 (Intraday High). The 52W range (75.06–194.36) and 34.4x PE ratio indicate undervaluation potential if capital initiatives succeed. For leveraged exposure, consider bold<FTAI20251121P160 and bold<FTAI20251121P165:• FTAI20251121P160 (Put, Strike: 160, Expiry: 11/21): IV 52.04%, Leverage 27.13%, Delta -0.412, Theta -0.061, Gamma 0.0207, Turnover 18,600 – High IV and moderate delta offer downside protection with 87.5% price change potential • FTAI20251121P165 (Put, Strike: 165, Expiry: 11/21): IV 54.06%, Leverage 18.41%, Delta -0.515, Theta -0.0359, Gamma 0.0204, Turnover 884 – Strong theta decay and high gamma make it ideal for aggressive short-term bearish betsUnder a 5% downside scenario (targeting 155.40), FTAI20251121P160 payoff: max(0, 155.40 - 160) = $0 (strike not breached). FTAI20251121P165 payoff: max(0, 165 - 155.40) = $9.60. These contracts balance risk and reward for a volatile near-term outlook. Aggressive bulls may consider bold<FTAI20251121C160 into a bounce above 169.62. <visualization data="&quot;&quot;"></visualization> Backtest FTAI Aviation Stock Performance Below is an at-a-glance review of the strategy you requested—“Buy FTAI at the next open after any day the stock closes -5 % or worse, then exit after 10 trading days.” Key take-aways:• Frequency 26 trades were triggered between 2022-01-03 and 2025-11-03. • Performance Aggregate return –16.2 %, translating into an annualized return of –3.0 %. • Risk Maximum draw-down reached –30.2 %. The Sharpe ratio (–0.17) indicates poor risk-adjusted performance. • Win/Loss 0 winning trades vs. 26 losing trades; average loss ≈ –16 %. • Conclusion A simple “buy the dip after –5 %” rule has not worked for FTAI; the draw-down and persistence of losses suggest that large single-day plunges tended to occur in protracted down-swings rather than short-lived over-reactions.(Parameters you did not specify were auto-filled: – price_type = close (most common for EOD signals) – max_hold_days = 10 (a concise holding window consistent with “short-term rebound” logic).)You can inspect the full trade list, equity curve and statistics in the interactive panel below.Feel free to explore the visuals and let me know if you’d like to tweak the entry threshold, add stop-loss/take-profit rules, or test this idea on other tickers.<visualization data="{&quot;components&quot;: [{&quot;show_type&quot;: &quot;jgyNewLowcode&quot;, &quot;data&quot;: {&quot;columns&quot;: [{&quot;type&quot;: &quot;Object&quot;, &quot;index_name&quot;: &quot;strategy_basic_info&quot;, &quot;key&quot;: &quot;strategy_basic_info&quot;}, {&quot;type&quot;: &quot;Object&quot;, &quot;index_name&quot;: &quot;backtest_condition&quot;, &quot;key&quot;: &quot;backtest_condition&quot;}, {&quot;type&quot;: &quot;STR&quot;, &quot;index_name&quot;: &quot;backtest_result&quot;, &quot;key&quot;: &quot;backtest_result&quot;}], &quot;datas&quot;: [{&quot;backtest_result&quot;: &quot;https://cdn.ainvest.com/backtest/agent/session/784562/b586ef9f-1a2b-4209-9f49-39e366eaa204/0613ced1-8696-4c75-8c2a-02e71b5bcabb/ftai_plunge_backtest_visual.json&quot;, &quot;backtest_condition&quot;: {&quot;risk_control&quot;: {&quot;display_name&quot;: &quot;Risk Control&quot;, &quot;parameters&quot;: {&quot;max_holding_days&quot;: {&quot;display_name&quot;: &quot;Hold Days&quot;, &quot;value&quot;: 10}}}, &quot;open_signal&quot;: {&quot;criteria&quot;: &quot;Daily close-to-close return \u2264 \u22125%&quot;, &quot;display_name&quot;: &quot;Open Signal&quot;, &quot;type&quot;: &quot;criteria&quot;}, &quot;sell_signal&quot;: {&quot;criteria&quot;: &quot;10 trading days after entry&quot;, &quot;display_name&quot;: &quot;Close Signal&quot;, &quot;type&quot;: &quot;criteria&quot;}, &quot;object&quot;: {&quot;ticker&quot;: [&quot;FTAI&quot;], &quot;display_name&quot;: &quot;Object&quot;, &quot;type&quot;: &quot;ticker&quot;}}, &quot;strategy_basic_info&quot;: {&quot;name&quot;: &quot;FTAI \u20135% Plunge Rebound&quot;, &quot;description&quot;: &quot;Go long FTAI at the next open after any \u22125 % (or larger) daily close drop; exit after 10 trading days.&quot;}}]}, &quot;config&quot;: {&quot;type&quot;: &quot;iwcapp/stockBackTestTool&quot;, &quot;version&quot;: &quot;0.0.3&quot;, &quot;url&quot;: &quot;//cdn.ainvest.com/frontResources/s/foiegras/stockBackTestTool/0.0.3/stockBackTestTool@0.0.3index.js&quot;}, &quot;uuid&quot;: &quot;1762276570924&quot;}], &quot;page&quot;: {&quot;layout&quot;: {&quot;layout_data&quot;: &quot;[{\&quot;uuid\&quot;: \&quot;1762276570924\&quot;, \&quot;show_type\&quot;: \&quot;jgyNewLowcode\&quot;}]&quot;, &quot;layout_mode&quot;: &quot;grid&quot;}}}"></visualization>Act Now: FTAI’s Strategic Moves and Market Volatility Demand Tactical Positioning FTAI’s 5.3% selloff reflects a critical juncture between capital expansion optimism and sector-specific risks. The $2B capital initiative and 77% EBITDA growth in Aerospace Products signal long-term potential, but legacy engine concerns and a 2.5x net debt/EBITDA ratio demand caution. Investors should monitor 162.06 support and 169.62 resistance, with Boeing’s -2.08% move underscoring sector fragility. For tactical positioning, the bold<FTAI20251121P160 and bold<FTAI20251121P165 options offer asymmetric risk/reward. Watch for a breakdown below 162.06 or a rebound above 169.62 to confirm directional bias.<img src=https://cdn.ainvest.com/news/med-image/compress-1b8ed4d2e7138001.png style="max-width: 100%;">

AInvest

FTAI Aviation

FTAI Aviation Plunges 5.3% Amid Earnings Disappointment and Strategic Uncertainty – What’s Next for the Aviation Leasing Giant?

Summary • FTAI Aviation’s Q3 2025 earnings miss EPS expectations despite $667M revenue • Dividend hike to $0.35/share and $2B capital initiative announced • Stock trades at 163.58, down 5.29% intraday with 52W range of 75.06–194.36

FTAI Aviation’s sharp selloff reflects investor skepticism over earnings shortfalls and long-term strategic risks. The stock’s 5.3% drop to 163.58—its lowest since October—highlights concerns about legacy engine reliance amid a $2B capital expansion. With a 28% year-over-year EBITDA surge but a 7.7% earnings shortfall, the market is weighing management’s confidence in cash flow against looming technological disruptions. <visualization dataUrl="https://cdn.ainvest.com/news/visual/visual_components/viz_vnmmm6zj.json"></visualization> Q3 Earnings Disappointment and Legacy Engine Concerns Drive Sharp Selloff FTAI Aviation’s Q3 2025 results revealed a $1.10 EPS miss against $1.21 estimates, despite $667M revenue and $297M adjusted EBITDA. The dividend increase to $0.35/share and $2B capital initiative signaled short-term confidence, but analysts flagged risks from legacy engine dependence. The Aerospace Products segment’s 77% EBITDA growth contrasted with Aviation Leasing’s asset-light pivot, yet fears of next-gen engine obsolescence and supply chain bottlenecks overshadowed near-term gains. The 5.3% intraday drop reflects a tug-of-war between bullish capital deployment and bearish sector headwinds.

Aerospace & Defense Sector Volatile as Boeing Slides 2.08% – FTAI’s Strategic Moves Under Scrutiny The Aerospace & Defense sector remains volatile, with Boeing (BA) down 2.08% on concerns over 777X delays and labor strikes. FTAI’s 5.3% decline outpaces sector peers, highlighting its exposure to niche engine maintenance markets. While Boeing’s struggles reflect broader manufacturing risks, FTAI’s selloff stems from sector-specific fears—legacy engine obsolescence and capital-intensive expansion. The sector’s mixed performance underscores divergent investor sentiment between established manufacturers and agile leasing firms.

Options and ETF Strategies for Navigating FTAI’s Volatility • MACD: 2.78 (Signal: 3.23, Histogram: -0.44) – bearish divergence • RSI: 51.4 – neutral • Bollinger Bands: 161.84 (Lower) – 185.82 (Upper) – price near support • 200D MA: 128.89 – 163.58 is 26% above

FTAI’s technicals suggest a short-term bearish trend but long-term bullish setup. Key levels to watch: 162.06 (Intraday Low) and 169.62 (Intraday High). The 52W range (75.06–194.36) and 34.4x PE ratio indicate undervaluation potential if capital initiatives succeed. For leveraged exposure, consider bold<FTAI20251121P160 and bold<FTAI20251121P165:

• FTAI20251121P160 (Put, Strike: 160, Expiry: 11/21): IV 52.04%, Leverage 27.13%, Delta -0.412, Theta -0.061, Gamma 0.0207, Turnover 18,600 – High IV and moderate delta offer downside protection with 87.5% price change potential • FTAI20251121P165 (Put, Strike: 165, Expiry: 11/21): IV 54.06%, Leverage 18.41%, Delta -0.515, Theta -0.0359, Gamma 0.0204, Turnover 884 – Strong theta decay and high gamma make it ideal for aggressive short-term bearish bets

Under a 5% downside scenario (targeting 155.40), FTAI20251121P160 payoff: max(0, 155.40 - 160) = $0 (strike not breached). FTAI20251121P165 payoff: max(0, 165 - 155.40) = $9.60. These contracts balance risk and reward for a volatile near-term outlook. Aggressive bulls may consider bold<FTAI20251121C160 into a bounce above 169.62. <visualization data="&quot;&quot;"></visualization> Backtest FTAI Aviation Stock Performance Below is an at-a-glance review of the strategy you requested—“Buy FTAI at the next open after any day the stock closes -5 % or worse, then exit after 10 trading days.” Key take-aways:• Frequency 26 trades were triggered between 2022-01-03 and 2025-11-03. • Performance Aggregate return –16.2 %, translating into an annualized return of –3.0 %. • Risk Maximum draw-down reached –30.2 %. The Sharpe ratio (–0.17) indicates poor risk-adjusted performance. • Win/Loss 0 winning trades vs. 26 losing trades; average loss ≈ –16 %. • Conclusion A simple “buy the dip after –5 %” rule has not worked for FTAI; the draw-down and persistence of losses suggest that large single-day plunges tended to occur in protracted down-swings rather than short-lived over-reactions.(Parameters you did not specify were auto-filled: – price_type = close (most common for EOD signals) – max_hold_days = 10 (a concise holding window consistent with “short-term rebound” logic).)You can inspect the full trade list, equity curve and statistics in the interactive panel below.Feel free to explore the visuals and let me know if you’d like to tweak the entry threshold, add stop-loss/take-profit rules, or test this idea on other tickers.<visualization data="{&quot;components&quot;: [{&quot;show_type&quot;: &quot;jgyNewLowcode&quot;, &quot;data&quot;: {&quot;columns&quot;: [{&quot;type&quot;: &quot;Object&quot;, &quot;index_name&quot;: &quot;strategy_basic_info&quot;, &quot;key&quot;: &quot;strategy_basic_info&quot;}, {&quot;type&quot;: &quot;Object&quot;, &quot;index_name&quot;: &quot;backtest_condition&quot;, &quot;key&quot;: &quot;backtest_condition&quot;}, {&quot;type&quot;: &quot;STR&quot;, &quot;index_name&quot;: &quot;backtest_result&quot;, &quot;key&quot;: &quot;backtest_result&quot;}], &quot;datas&quot;: [{&quot;backtest_result&quot;: &quot;https://cdn.ainvest.com/backtest/agent/session/784562/b586ef9f-1a2b-4209-9f49-39e366eaa204/0613ced1-8696-4c75-8c2a-02e71b5bcabb/ftai_plunge_backtest_visual.json&quot;, &quot;backtest_condition&quot;: {&quot;risk_control&quot;: {&quot;display_name&quot;: &quot;Risk Control&quot;, &quot;parameters&quot;: {&quot;max_holding_days&quot;: {&quot;display_name&quot;: &quot;Hold Days&quot;, &quot;value&quot;: 10}}}, &quot;open_signal&quot;: {&quot;criteria&quot;: &quot;Daily close-to-close return \u2264 \u22125%&quot;, &quot;display_name&quot;: &quot;Open Signal&quot;, &quot;type&quot;: &quot;criteria&quot;}, &quot;sell_signal&quot;: {&quot;criteria&quot;: &quot;10 trading days after entry&quot;, &quot;display_name&quot;: &quot;Close Signal&quot;, &quot;type&quot;: &quot;criteria&quot;}, &quot;object&quot;: {&quot;ticker&quot;: [&quot;FTAI&quot;], &quot;display_name&quot;: &quot;Object&quot;, &quot;type&quot;: &quot;ticker&quot;}}, &quot;strategy_basic_info&quot;: {&quot;name&quot;: &quot;FTAI \u20135% Plunge Rebound&quot;, &quot;description&quot;: &quot;Go long FTAI at the next open after any \u22125 % (or larger) daily close drop; exit after 10 trading days.&quot;}}]}, &quot;config&quot;: {&quot;type&quot;: &quot;iwcapp/stockBackTestTool&quot;, &quot;version&quot;: &quot;0.0.3&quot;, &quot;url&quot;: &quot;//cdn.ainvest.com/frontResources/s/foiegras/stockBackTestTool/0.0.3/stockBackTestTool@0.0.3index.js&quot;}, &quot;uuid&quot;: &quot;1762276570924&quot;}], &quot;page&quot;: {&quot;layout&quot;: {&quot;layout_data&quot;: &quot;[{\&quot;uuid\&quot;: \&quot;1762276570924\&quot;, \&quot;show_type\&quot;: \&quot;jgyNewLowcode\&quot;}]&quot;, &quot;layout_mode&quot;: &quot;grid&quot;}}}"></visualization>

Act Now: FTAI’s Strategic Moves and Market Volatility Demand Tactical Positioning FTAI’s 5.3% selloff reflects a critical juncture between capital expansion optimism and sector-specific risks. The $2B capital initiative and 77% EBITDA growth in Aerospace Products signal long-term potential, but legacy engine concerns and a 2.5x net debt/EBITDA ratio demand caution. Investors should monitor 162.06 support and 169.62 resistance, with Boeing’s -2.08% move underscoring sector fragility. For tactical positioning, the bold<FTAI20251121P160 and bold<FTAI20251121P165 options offer asymmetric risk/reward. Watch for a breakdown below 162.06 or a rebound above 169.62 to confirm directional bias.<img src=https://cdn.ainvest.com/news/med-image/compress-1b8ed4d2e7138001.png style="max-width: 100%;">