FLOW/USDT Market Overview for 2025-09-26

• FLOW/USDT tested key support at 0.338–0.340 before rebounding; bullish reversal patterns emerged near this level.
• Volatility remained elevated with a 24-hour range of 0.336–0.350 and a total volume of 1,850,645.81 USDT traded.
• RSI showed oversold conditions at 0.338, while MACD crossed bearishly after an earlier bullish signal.
• Bollinger Bands suggested a contraction phase earlier in the day, followed by a breakout attempt.
• Price is now consolidating near 0.342–0.344, with Fibonacci retracement levels at 0.343 and 0.346 acting as potential resistance.

FLOW/USDT opened at 0.350 on 2025-09-25 at 12:00 ET and closed at 0.341 on 2025-09-26 at 12:00 ET, with a high of 0.350 and a low of 0.336 over the 24-hour period. Total volume was 1,850,645.81 USDT, with a notional turnover of $648,486. The price action reflected a bearish bias in the early part of the session but showed signs of consolidation and a potential short-term reversal in the latter half.

Structure & Formations

Price tested a key support zone between 0.338 and 0.340 multiple times, with a bullish reversal pattern forming around 0.338–0.339 on 2025-09-26 after an extended bearish leg. A hammer-like structure appeared on the 15-minute chart near this level, suggesting buyer interest. On the upside, resistance remains at 0.343–0.345, where price has stalled multiple times. A key psychological level of 0.345 could be a critical turning point in the near term.

Moving Averages

Short-term 15-minute moving averages (20/50) indicate a bearish bias, with price dipping below both indicators earlier in the session. However, a 50-period line on the 15-minute chart began to turn upward in the final hours, suggesting a possible re-entry into a bullish phase. On the daily chart, the 50-day MA remains above the 100 and 200-day lines, maintaining a long-term bullish bias.

MACD & RSI

MACD crossed bearishly in the early part of the session, confirming the bearish momentum. However, it began to turn upward later in the session, indicating a potential reversal. RSI reached oversold territory near 0.338, with a reading of approximately 25, suggesting potential for a rebound. A bearish divergence between RSI and price during the dip may signal caution, but the reversal in RSI suggests a short-term bullish bounce could occur.

Bollinger Bands

Bollinger Bands showed a contraction earlier in the session, followed by an expansion as price broke out of consolidation toward 0.343. Price currently resides within the upper and lower bands but has not closed above the upper band, suggesting the move is still in a range-bound phase. A breakout above the upper band could signal a new bullish trend, while a drop below the lower band would confirm a bearish continuation.

Volume & Turnover

Volume spiked during key bearish moves, particularly between 17:30 and 18:00 ET, confirming the bearish sentiment. However, turnover dropped off during the rebound near 0.338–0.340, which could indicate weaker conviction among buyers. A divergence between price and volume during the rebound suggests caution. Higher volume is needed to confirm a reversal and sustain the bullish momentum.

Fibonacci Retracements

Key Fibonacci retracement levels on the recent 15-minute move from 0.350 to 0.336 include 0.343 (38.2%) and 0.346 (61.8%). Price has stalled at 0.343 on multiple occasions, suggesting this level is a critical support/resistance area. A break above 0.346 would signal a stronger bullish bias, potentially targeting 0.350 and beyond. On the daily chart, the 61.8% level of the broader move from 0.355 to 0.336 is at 0.343, reinforcing its importance.

Backtest Hypothesis

A potential backtesting strategy involves entering long positions on FLOW/USDT when RSI crosses back above 30 from oversold levels (≤ 30), confirming with a bullish reversal candlestick pattern (e.g., hammer or inverted hammer) and a volume spike. Stop-loss would be placed just below the most recent support level (e.g., 0.338), with a target at 0.343–0.345. This strategy aims to capture short-term rebounds in a volatile, range-bound market. Initial results on the 24-hour dataset suggest the signal would have triggered a long entry near 0.338, with the target achieved in the following 2–3 hours.