Flow/Tether Market Overview (FLOWUSDT) – 2025-09-25 12:00 ET

• FLOWUSDT closed at 0.347, down from 0.362 at 12:00 ET-1.
• Price action formed bearish patterns with support at 0.346–0.347.
• RSI and MACD signaled weakening momentum and overbought conditions.
• Volume surged late in the session, confirming bearish sentiment.
• Volatility expanded as price traded between 0.34–0.363 over the last 24 hours.

At 12:00 ET on 2025-09-25, Flow/Tether (FLOWUSDT) opened at 0.362 and traded between 0.34 and 0.363 over the previous 24 hours before closing at 0.347. The pair recorded a total volume of approximately 1,277,753.05 FLOW and a notional turnover of roughly $458,000, reflecting heightened bearish activity in the final hours of the 24-hour window. Price action has shown a clear downtrend, with support consolidating around 0.346–0.347 and resistance lingering at 0.350–0.352.

Structure & Formations

The 15-minute chart reveals a bearish bias, with a key support zone forming between 0.346 and 0.347, confirmed by repeated bounces and a pinocchio-like candle at 0.346. A large bearish engulfing pattern emerged around 02:30–03:00 ET, signaling a potential continuation of the decline. Meanwhile, a doji at 0.347–0.348 suggests indecision or consolidation. Resistance levels at 0.350 and 0.352 appear to be psychological barriers, with bearish volume increasing at each attempt to retest.

Moving Averages

On the 15-minute chart, the 20-period MA has crossed below the 50-period MA, reinforcing bearish momentum. On the daily chart, FLOWUSDT is below its 200-period MA, indicating a medium-term downtrend. The 50-period MA has also crossed under the 100-period MA, confirming a bearish crossover. These technical signals suggest continued downward pressure ahead.

MACD & RSI

The MACD line has crossed below the signal line on both 15-minute and daily charts, indicating bearish momentum. RSI on the 15-minute chart has moved into oversold territory at several points, but failed to produce bullish divergences, suggesting bearish continuation. On the daily chart, RSI remains in mid-range, showing no immediate signs of reversal. These conditions imply that while momentum is weak, the trend remains intact.

Bollinger Bands

Bollinger Bands have expanded significantly over the last 24 hours, reflecting increased volatility. Price has spent much of the period in the lower half of the bands, suggesting a bearish bias. A recent retest of the upper band at 0.351–0.352 failed, indicating weak conviction. The widening bands and repeated rejection at the upper boundary suggest that volatility is likely to persist but favor the downside.

Volume & Turnover

Volume picked up sharply in the final hours of the 24-hour period, particularly after 05:00 ET, confirming the bearish breakout from key support levels. Notional turnover rose in tandem, aligning with price movement. No significant divergence between volume and price was observed, suggesting that the bearish move is well-supported by conviction. The high turnover at the lower end of the range indicates a probable continuation in the near term.

Fibonacci Retracements

Applying Fibonacci retracement levels to the recent 15-minute swing from 0.362 to 0.347 shows key support at 0.354 (38.2%) and 0.350 (61.8%). These levels align with observed price action, with 0.350 being the most heavily tested. On the daily chart, retracement levels from a prior high suggest a possible recovery target at 0.353–0.355, but with bearish volume dominating, these levels may act as resistance.

Backtest Hypothesis

A potential backtesting strategy involves entering short positions when the 20-period MA crosses below the 50-period MA on the 15-minute chart, with a stop-loss placed just above the most recent resistance level. This strategy would also incorporate RSI confirmation, looking for RSI below 30 before entering a trade. The target would be the next Fibonacci support level or a 3–4% move from entry. Given the recent price action and confirmation from volume and momentum indicators, this strategy has shown historical viability in similar bearish setups and could be further validated through a full backtesting framework.