La decisión de reducir la tasa de la Reserva Federal y su impacto inmediato sobre los mercados de EE. UU.

The Federal Reserve's November 2025 decision to cut its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points, bringing the federal funds rate to a range of 3.5% to 3.75%, marked a pivotal shift in monetary policy. This move, the third consecutive rate reduction of the year, reflects the central bank's response to evolving economic conditions and inflationary pressures. However, the decision was not unanimous: three members dissented, with Stephen Miran advocating for a larger 50-basis-point cut and Jeff Schmid and Austan Goolsbee
preferring to maintain rates unchanged. The Fed's updated projections now anticipate only one additional rate cut in 2026, signaling a cautious approach
according to revised economic forecasts of 2.3% GDP growth and 2.5% inflation by year-end.

Market Reactions and Strategic Asset Reallocation

The rate cut has triggered immediate shifts in investor behavior, with asset classes responding to the prospect of lower borrowing costs and a more accommodative monetary policy. Equities, particularly in sectors tied to long-term growth and cyclical demand, have emerged as key beneficiaries. Technology stocks, for instance,
have surged as lower discount rates elevate the present value of future earnings for AI-driven and innovation-focused firms.

Real estate and healthcare sectors have also gained traction, with the former
benefiting from reduced mortgage costs and the latter leveraging its defensive characteristics and growth potential.

Bonds, meanwhile, have experienced a nuanced response. While Treasury yields initially declined following the rate cut, investors have shown a preference for higher-yielding corporate bonds
as the Fed's dovish stance tempers expectations of further rate reductions. This shift underscores a broader search for yield in a low-interest-rate environment, though financial institutions face challenges from
compressed net interest margins.

Real estate markets have seen a more measured reaction. Although lower borrowing costs have improved financing for developers and property owners, the sector lagged in the immediate aftermath of the rate cut as investors weighed risks against broader market optimism
according to UBP analysis. However, long-term fundamentals suggest a potential rebound, particularly in multifamily and industrial real estate, where
cap rate compression and refinancing opportunities are expected to drive valuation gains.

Investor Strategies and Sector-Specific Impacts

The first week following the rate cut revealed clear trends in asset allocation. Technology and cyclical sectors outperformed, with industrials, consumer discretionary, and energy stocks
rising on expectations of stronger economic activity. Defensive sectors like utilities and healthcare, however, underperformed, reflecting a shift toward growth-oriented investments. In the bond market, 10-year Treasury yields climbed to 4.14%, indicating a recalibration of risk appetite as investors
anticipated further Fed easing.

Real estate investors are recalibrating strategies to capitalize on the new policy environment. Multifamily and self-storage properties, known for stable cash flows,
are attracting renewed interest as lower required yields make these assets more attractive. The office sector, particularly Class A and B properties, is also poised for a revival, with
improved financing economics encouraging occupiers to return to traditional commercial spaces. Industrial real estate, meanwhile, shows early signs of a rebound, driven by growing manufacturing demand and the potential for development activity.

Risks and the Path Forward

While the Fed's rate cuts have injected liquidity into markets and spurred strategic reallocation, risks remain. Overvaluation in certain real estate sectors could emerge as competition for assets intensifies, and
a sudden reversal in monetary policy-should inflationary pressures resurge-could disrupt investor confidence. Additionally, the Fed's cautious stance on further cuts underscores the importance of monitoring incoming economic data, which will
dictate the trajectory of monetary policy in 2026.

For investors, the key lies in balancing growth opportunities with risk management. Sectors like technology and real estate offer compelling prospects in a low-rate environment, but diversification and a focus on fundamentals will be critical to navigating potential volatility. As the Fed continues to walk the tightrope between inflation control and economic growth, strategic asset allocation will remain a dynamic and essential component of portfolio management.