Fed's Next Move: Market Expects Stability, Bitcoin Dump Raises Concerns

The Federal Reserve's next meeting is just two days away, and according to CME's "FedWatch" data, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in January is a mere 2.7%, with a 97.3% chance of no change. This suggests that the market is not expecting any significant adjustments to the federal funds rate in the near future.

Looking ahead to March, the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 0.7%, while a cumulative 25 basis point cut is at 29.2%. The likelihood of no change remains high at 70.1%. These figures indicate that while there is some uncertainty about the Fed's next move, the market is generally expecting a period of stability in interest rates.

The Fed's policy decisions have a significant impact on global financial markets, and investors are closely watching for any signs of a shift in monetary policy. As the next meeting approaches, market participants will be scrutinizing the Fed's statements and economic projections for clues about the direction of interest rates.

In the meantime, other factors are also influencing market sentiment. The sudden dumping of Bitcoin by DeepSeek has raised concerns about the stability of the cryptocurrency market, while the upcoming launch of the "Penguin Chain" abstract has generated interest in the potential for new blockchain projects.

Key market information discrepancies have also been a topic of discussion, with investors and analysts keeping a close eye on developments in the market. As the situation evolves, market participants will continue to monitor the Fed's actions and adapt their strategies accordingly.