Ethereum News Today: ETH/BTC Ratio Breaks 200-day Moving Average as Ethereum Surges 60% on Institutional Inflows and On-chain Activity, Targets $10,000 by Q4 2025

The ETH/BTC price ratio has surpassed the 200-day moving average for the first time in over a year, signaling a potential shift in market dynamics toward Ethereum’s favor. Bitget Research Institute’s Chief Analyst Ryan Lee highlighted this development as a key indicator of Ethereum’s structural strength, noting that the asset has surged nearly 60% in recent months, breaching $3,800. The breakout is attributed to strong institutional inflows and rising on-chain activity, with ETH-related spot and derivative transactions seeing a net inflow of $2.4 billion in the prior week. Large whale addresses have also shown increased accumulation, reflecting growing confidence in Ethereum’s ecosystem [1].

The ETH/BTC ratio’s technical signal underscores a broader trend of capital reallocation within the cryptocurrency market. While Bitcoin remains above $119,000 with robust technical fundamentals and institutional backing, its ETF funds have experienced slight outflows, suggesting reduced momentum compared to Ethereum. This divergence highlights Ethereum’s advantage as the market’s focus shifts toward altcoin sectors, particularly DeFi applications, which are driving heightened demand for ETH. Analysts emphasize that Ethereum’s structural strength is evident in its ability to attract inflows despite Bitcoin’s continued dominance in total market capitalization [1].

Bitget Research Institute’s forecast projects a bullish outlook for Ethereum, with the asset potentially testing $5,500–6,500 in Q4 2025 if current trends persist. Should institutional demand remain sustained, the price could extend further to $10,000. For Bitcoin, the analysts predict a target range of $140,000–160,000 by year-end, though the pace of its ascent is expected to lag behind Ethereum’s [1]. The divergent trajectories underscore Ethereum’s role as a beneficiary of macroeconomic factors, including its upcoming upgrades and the broader adoption of its decentralized finance infrastructure.

The analysis aligns with historical patterns where the ETH/BTC ratio crossing above its 200-day MA often precedes extended outperformance by Ethereum. However, the forecasts remain contingent on external variables such as regulatory developments and macroeconomic conditions. Bitget’s research does not address potential risks from network congestion, security vulnerabilities, or shifts in investor sentiment that could counterbalance the current momentum.

Source: [1] [Bitget Research Institute: ETH/BTC Ratio Breaks Above 200-day Moving Average for the First Time, ETH Expected to Rally to $10,000 in Q4] [https://www.theblockbeats.info/en/flash/304814]