Ethereum News Today: ADA Bull Gambardello Maps Exit Strategy as Risk Score Nears Threshold

Cardano (ADA) is entering a phase that longtime supporter and crypto analyst Dan Gambardello views as highly strategic for investors. Gambardello, known for his bullish stance on the project, has outlined a plan for when and how he intends to start selling his ADA holdings, diverging from his 2021 strategy of holding through market cycles. This time, he is emphasizing preparation and transparency, encouraging investors to adopt a structured approach as the market begins to show signs of a potential bull run [1].

Gambardello’s strategy is anchored in a "risk score" metric that ranges from 0 to 100, with increasing scores signaling growing market risks. According to his interpretation, a score between 25 and 50 indicates moderate risk, 50 to 75 signifies high risk, and 75 to 100 marks extreme risk. Historical patterns show that Ethereum and Cardano have historically reached turning points when the score hit 75. For example, Ethereum reached this level in previous cycles, followed by major market shifts within weeks. Gambardello considers 75 as a key threshold for investors to begin exiting their positions, even though ADA has previously reached higher risk levels, such as 86 and 93, during past bull markets [1].

Currently, Cardano’s risk score stands at 36, which Gambardello classifies as a “moderate buy.” This suggests that ADA is still in an early phase of a potential bull cycle. However, he cautions that the shift to higher risk levels can occur rapidly. For instance, in a previous cycle, Cardano’s risk score jumped from 34 to 76 within weeks, coinciding with a sharp price increase from $0.09 to nearly $0.59. Gambardello warns investors to anticipate similar speed and volatility and to plan their exits accordingly [1].

For long-term ADA holders, Gambardello also highlights that the $1 to $3 price range offers an ideal opportunity to begin securing profits. Many investors have accumulated ADA at much lower prices, and locking in gains between $1.40 and $2.00 could make strategic sense, particularly before the market enters higher-risk territory. Gambardello himself plans to take advantage of this range to lock in profits. However, he emphasized that his most critical moment for action would be when ADA breaks above its 2021 all-time high of $3.10. If the price surges past $3 and the risk score approaches 75, he views this as a strong signal to begin aggressive selling [1].

Comparing ADA’s trajectory to Ethereum, Gambardello noted that Ethereum’s risk score is currently at 49, which, in previous cycles, has rapidly climbed to 75 within weeks. He suggests that a similar dynamic could unfold with ADA, underscoring the importance of disciplined planning over emotional decision-making. While he has expressed a more speculative view of ADA potentially reaching $10, he insists that investors should set their own exit strategies based on the risk score and price levels [1].

Source: [1] Cardano Bull Reveals When He'll Start Selling His ADA Bag (https://thecryptobasic.com/2025/09/05/cardano-bull-reveals-when-hell-start-selling-his-ada-bag/)