Earnings Estimates Moving Higher for Ciena (CIEN): Time to Buy?

Ciena (CIEN) appears an attractive pick given a noticeable improvement in the company's earnings outlook. The stock has been a strong performer lately, and the momentum might continue with analysts still raising their earnings estimates for the company.

The rising trend in estimate revisions, which is a result of growing analyst optimism on the earnings prospects of this developer of high-speed networking technology, should get reflected in its stock price. After all, empirical research shows a strong correlation between trends in earnings estimate revisions and near-term stock price movements. This insight is at the core of our stock rating tool -- the Zacks Rank.

The five-grade Zacks Rank system, which ranges from a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) to a Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell), has an impressive externally-audited track record of outperformance, with Zacks #1 Ranked stocks generating an average annual return of +25% since 2008.

For Ciena, strong agreement among the covering analysts in revising earnings estimates upward has resulted in meaningful improvement in consensus estimates for the next quarter and full year.

The chart below shows the evolution of forward 12-month Zacks Consensus EPS estimate:

12 Month EPS

Current-Quarter Estimate Revisions

The earnings estimate of $1.38 per share for the current quarter represents a change of +228.6% from the number reported a year ago.

Over the last 30 days, six estimates have moved higher for Ciena compared to no negative revisions. As a result, the Zacks Consensus Estimate has increased 15.39%.

Current-Year Estimate Revisions

For the full year, the company is expected to earn $5.89 per share, representing a year-over-year change of +123.1%.

In terms of estimate revisions, the trend for the current year also appears quite encouraging for Ciena. Over the past month, seven estimates have moved higher compared to no negative revisions, helping the consensus estimate increase 12.27%.

Favorable Zacks Rank

The promising estimate revisions have helped Ciena earn a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy). The Zacks Rank is a tried-and-tested rating tool that helps investors effectively harness the power of earnings estimate revisions and make the right investment decision.

You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

Our research shows that stocks with Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) and 2 (Buy) significantly outperform the S&P 500.

Bottom Line

Investors have been betting on Ciena because of its solid estimate revisions, as evident from the stock's 11% gain over the past four weeks. As its earnings growth prospects might push the stock higher, you may consider adding it to your portfolio right away.

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Ciena Corporation (CIEN): Free Stock Analysis Report

This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com).

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