Can Dogecoin Bulls Break the $0.168 Resistance and Trigger a Bullish Rally?

The question on every Dogecoin (DOGE) investor's mind in December 2025 is whether the bulls can overcome the critical $0.168 resistance level and ignite a sustained bullish rally. With the price currently trading below $0.140, the path to $0.168 is fraught with technical hurdles and bearish momentum. However, emerging chart patterns, oversold conditions, and institutional activity suggest a potential reversal could be on the horizon. Let's dissect the technical landscape, bullish signals, and short-term strategies for navigating this pivotal moment in DOGE's journey.

Technical Resistance: A Crucial Hurdle

The $0.168 level has emerged as a symbolic battleground for DOGE bulls. As of December 2025, the price is consolidating below key resistance at $0.1420 and $0.1450, with the 50-day and 200-day moving averages forming a "death cross" that underscores the bearish bias according to technical analysis. Breaking above $0.1450 would be the first step toward testing $0.168, a level analysts view as critical for confirming a broader bullish continuation.

However, the path is not without risks. A breakdown below $0.13 would invalidate the current consolidation pattern and open the door to further declines toward $0.10. This makes the $0.13–$0.14 range a vital support corridor. Notably, a liquidity sweep below $0.13 has already cleared weak hands, and price stabilization above this level suggests accumulation by long-term holders.

Bullish Reversal Signals: Patterns and Momentum

Despite the bearish backdrop, multiple technical indicators hint at a potential reversal. On the daily chart, an inverse head and shoulders pattern is forming, with a neckline at $0.1350 acting as a confirmation level. A breakout above this level could propel DOGE toward $0.15–$0.16 and eventually $0.168.

On shorter timeframes, the eight-hour chart reveals a diamond continuation pattern near $0.1300, which analysts interpret as a constructive pause rather than a distribution phase. Meanwhile, the RSI has entered a neutral zone (40–45), and the MACD histogram is showing early signs of bullish momentum, suggesting an oversold bounce could materialize.

Institutional involvement also adds intrigue. A recent 8% price surge to $0.1467 was accompanied by a spike in volume to 1.37 billion tokens, signaling potential accumulation by large players. This move tested resistance at $0.1475–$0.1480, and a confirmed break above this level could set the stage for a run to $0.1500–$0.1520.

Short-Term Price Action Strategy: Key Levels to Watch

For traders and investors, the next few weeks will hinge on three critical price levels:
1. $0.1350 (Neckline of Inverse Head and Shoulders): A close above this level would validate the pattern and target $0.15–$0.16.
2. $0.1450 (Immediate Resistance): A breakout here would signal growing bullish momentum and set up a test of $0.168.
3. $0.168 (Long-Term Target): A successful breach could trigger a rally toward $0.198–$0.218, with even stronger moves possible beyond that.

Conversely, a drop below $0.13 would force bulls into a defensive posture, with further downside risks to $0.10.

Risks and Realities

While the technical case for a bullish reversal is compelling, the broader market context remains challenging. The death cross and bearish MACD readings suggest that a sustained rally will require more than just a breakout-it will need sustained buying pressure and a shift in market sentiment. Additionally, macroeconomic factors (e.g., interest rates, regulatory news) could influence DOGE's trajectory in ways not captured by technical analysis alone.

Conclusion: A High-Stakes Setup

Dogecoin's $0.168 resistance level represents both a test of conviction and a potential inflection point. The confluence of bullish reversal patterns, oversold conditions, and institutional activity creates a compelling case for a short-to-medium-term rally. However, the bearish bias from the death cross and the risk of a breakdown below $0.13 mean investors must approach this trade with caution and disciplined risk management.

For those willing to take the plunge, the coming weeks will provide clarity. If DOGE bulls can conquer $0.168, the next chapter for the meme coin could be one of explosive growth. But if they falter, the bear market's grip may tighten further.