DJT avanza un 9% por fusión con Fusion que desencadena una revisión del sector

Summary
• Trump Media (DJT) surges 9.05% intraday to $16.21, hitting a 52-week high of $17.09
• Merger with TAE Technologies valued at $6 billion triggers $200M cash infusion and 50% stake swap
• Options volatility spikes with DJT20251226C16 and DJT20251226C17 contracts seeing 34.92% and 20.00% price gains

Trump Media’s 9.05% intraday rally has ignited a seismic shift in the nuclear energy sector, driven by its landmark $6 billion merger with fusion startup TAE Technologies. The stock’s surge from a 52-week low of $10.18 to a 12-month high of $17.09 reflects investor frenzy over the creation of the first publicly traded fusion company. With $567 million in turnover and a 35% turnover rate, the move underscores the market’s recalibration of energy infrastructure priorities in the AI-driven economy.

Fusion Merger Ignites DJT's 9% Intraday Surge
The 9.05% intraday jump in DJT stems from its definitive agreement to merge with TAE Technologies, a $6 billion all-stock transaction that positions the combined entity as a pioneer in utility-scale fusion power. The deal includes $200 million in immediate cash and $100 million upon SEC filing, with construction of a 50 MWe fusion plant slated for 2026. This strategic pivot into fusion energy aligns with surging AI-driven electricity demand and U.S. policy shifts, including the recent $1 billion federal loan for Three Mile Island’s restart. The merger’s 50-50 ownership structure and TAE’s $53.89 per share valuation (despite private status) have redefined investor expectations for Trump Media’s capital access and technological relevance.

Nuclear Sector Gains Momentum as DJT Redefines Energy Landscape
The nuclear sector is experiencing renewed interest as DJT’s fusion merger intersects with broader policy and infrastructure trends. The U.S. Senate’s recent bill to boost nuclear manufacturing through tax credits and the Three Mile Island restart—backed by a $1 billion federal loan—highlight the sector’s strategic importance. While DJT’s 9.05% gain outpaces Constellation Energy (CEG)’s -0.94% intraday decline, the sector’s long-term viability hinges on overcoming technical hurdles in fusion commercialization. DJT’s 52-week high of $43.46 contrasts sharply with its current $16.21 price, reflecting both the stock’s volatility and the sector’s speculative nature.

Options Playbook: High-Leverage Contracts and ETFs for DJT's Volatile Trajectory
• RSI: 70.54 (overbought) • MACD: -0.28 (bearish divergence) • 200D MA: $18.07 (above current price) • Bollinger Bands: $9.22–$13.10 (price outside upper band)

Key levels to monitor include the 200D MA at $18.07 and the 30D support at $10.29. The RSI’s overbought condition and MACD’s bearish divergence suggest short-term exhaustion, but the stock’s 9.05% rally indicates strong speculative momentum. ProShares UltraPro Dow30 (UDOW) and Ultra Dow30 (DDM) offer leveraged exposure to broader market trends, though DJT’s sector-specific volatility may outpace these ETFs.

Top Option 1: DJT20251226C16
• Code: DJT20251226C16 • Type: Call • Strike: $16 • Expiry: 2025-12-26 • IV: 97.85% (high volatility) • Leverage: 18.26% • Delta: 0.51 • Theta: -0.0947 • Gamma: 0.1733 • Turnover: $470,221
• IV: High volatility suggests strong price sensitivity • Leverage: Amplifies gains/losses • Delta: Moderate directional exposure • Theta: Significant time decay • Gamma: High sensitivity to price changes • Turnover: High liquidity
This call option offers a 18.26% leverage ratio with a 0.51 delta, balancing directional exposure and volatility. The 97.85% implied volatility and 0.1733 gamma make it ideal for a continuation of DJT’s 9% rally. Projected 5% upside (to $17.01) would yield a payoff of $1.01 per contract.

Top Option 2: DJT20251226C17
• Code: DJT20251226C17 • Type: Call • Strike: $17 • Expiry: 2025-12-26 • IV: 104.93% (extreme volatility) • Leverage: 28.36% • Delta: 0.36 • Theta: -0.0845 • Gamma: 0.1519 • Turnover: $511,629
• IV: Extreme volatility reflects high uncertainty • Leverage: Aggressive amplification • Delta: Lower directional bias • Theta: Moderate time decay • Gamma: Strong price sensitivity • Turnover: High liquidity
This contract’s 28.36% leverage and 104.93% IV position it as a high-risk/high-reward play. A 5% upside (to $17.01) would yield a $0.01 payoff, but the 0.36 delta and 0.1519 gamma make it suitable for a breakout above $17.00. Aggressive bulls may consider DJT20251226C17 into a test of the 200D MA at $18.07.

Backtest Trump Media Stock Performance
The backtest of DJT's performance after a 9% intraday surge from 2022 to now shows mixed results. The 3-day win rate is 43.62%, the 10-day win rate is 40.43%, and the 30-day win rate is 34.57%. While the stock has positive returns over some short periods, the overall performance is lackluster, with a maximum return of only 0.94% over 30 days.

Act Now: DJT's Fusion Pivot Demands Strategic Positioning
DJT’s 9.05% intraday surge is a high-stakes inflection point driven by its fusion merger and AI energy demand tailwinds. While the stock’s 52-week high of $17.09 suggests short-term momentum, the 200D MA at $18.07 and 30D support at $10.29 remain critical. Investors should prioritize DJT20251226C16 for moderate leverage and DJT20251226C17 for aggressive upside potential. The nuclear sector’s broader revival—evidenced by the U.S. Senate’s tax credit bill and Three Mile Island’s restart—positions DJT as a speculative bellwether. Watch for a breakdown below $16.73 (200D support) or a breakout above $17.09 (intraday high) to confirm the next phase. Sector leader Constellation Energy (CEG)’s -0.94% decline underscores the need for sector-specific positioning. Aggressive bulls may consider DJT20251226C17 into a test of $18.07.