DigitalBridge Group subió un 9,7% por un acuerdo de adquisición de SoftBank por $4 mil millones -- ¿será esta la razón desencadenante para un nuevo periodo de aumento?

Summary
• SoftBank Group to acquire DigitalBridge for $4 billion, offering $16/share (15% premium to Dec 26 close)
• DBRG trades at $15.275 (9.73% intraday gain), near $16.00 acquisition price
• Turnover surges to 63.17M shares (35% of float), signaling strong institutional interest

Today’s explosive move in DigitalBridge Group (DBRG) is driven by a landmark $4 billion acquisition by SoftBank Group, a strategic play to bolster AI infrastructure. With the stock trading at $15.275 (up from $13.92) and hovering near the $16.00 cash offer, market participants are recalibrating risk-reward profiles. The deal’s 50% premium to the 52-week average and 65% premium to Dec 4 levels has ignited a frenzy, with technicals and options data hinting at a potential short-term climax.

SoftBank's $4B Acquisition Ignites DigitalBridge's 9.7% Rally
DigitalBridge’s 9.73% intraday surge is directly tied to SoftBank Group’s $4 billion all-cash acquisition offer, announced on December 29, 2025. The $16.00/share price represents a 15% premium to DBRG’s Dec 26 close and a 50% premium to its 52-week average. The deal, expected to close in H2 2026, positions SoftBank to scale AI infrastructure via DigitalBridge’s $108B digital infrastructure portfolio. Marc Ganzi, DBRG’s CEO, emphasized the strategic alignment with SoftBank’s ASI (Artificial Super Intelligence) vision, while Masayoshi Son highlighted the need for scalable compute and connectivity. The premium and cash structure have eliminated short-term uncertainty, fueling a speculative bid as investors price in the $16.00 floor.

Data Center REITs Rally on AI Infrastructure Momentum, EQIX Leads Gains
The Data Center REITs sector (led by Equinix at +0.33% intraday) has seen renewed interest amid AI-driven infrastructure demand. Blackstone’s AirTrunk is exploring a $1B Singapore REIT IPO, while NTT’s data center REIT set a 8-year listing record. DigitalBridge’s 9.73% move outpaces sector peers, reflecting its unique role as a consolidator of global digital infrastructure. The sector’s 52W high of $15.55 for DBRG underscores its premium positioning, with SoftBank’s acquisition validating the thesis of AI infrastructure as a long-term growth engine.

Options Playbook: High-Leverage Calls and Volatility-Driven Bets
• MACD: 0.670 (bullish divergence), Signal Line: 0.694, Histogram: -0.024 (momentum slowing)
• RSI: 47.95 (neutral), Bollinger Bands: $8.84–$16.93 (wide range, $15.275 near upper band)
• 200D MA: $10.76 (far below price), 30D MA: $11.73 (support)

Technical indicators suggest a short-term overbought condition, with the stock near its 52W high. The options chain reveals aggressive positioning: DBRG20260102C13 (strike $13) and DBRG20260102C12.5 (strike $12.5) stand out. The former has a 138.69% implied volatility ratio, 8.9996 gamma (high sensitivity to price moves), and 108.33% price change ratio, while the latter offers 169.78% IV and 70.905 gamma. Both contracts have high leverage ratios (6.79% and 10.53%) and moderate deltas (0.859 and 0.867), ideal for capitalizing on a potential $16.00 close.

DBRG20260102C13: Call option with $13 strike, 138.69% IV, 8.9996 gamma, 108.33% price change ratio. A 5% upside to $16.00 would yield max payoff of $3.00/share. High gamma ensures rapid delta expansion if the stock breaks $13.50.
DBRG20260102C12.5: Call option with $12.5 strike, 169.78% IV, 70.905 gamma, 10.53% leverage. A 5% move to $16.00 would generate $3.50/share payoff. Strong gamma and moderate delta make it a core holding for a $16.00 target.

Aggressive bulls may consider DBRG20260102C13 into a bounce above $15.32, while DBRG20260102C12.5 offers a lower-cost entry for a $14.50–$15.50 breakout. Watch for $16.00 price floor confirmation or a pullback to $14.00 for re-entry.

Backtest DigitalBridge Group Stock Performance
The backtest of DBRG's performance after a 10% intraday increase from 2022 to now shows mixed results. While the 3-Day and 10-Day win rates are relatively high at 48.13% and 50.11%, respectively, the 30-Day win rate drops to 46.59%. Additionally, the returns over the backtested periods are negative, with the maximum return being only 0.08% over 30 days. These results suggest that while DBRG may experience short-term gains following a 10% intraday surge, the overall performance in the extended period is lackluster.

DigitalBridge's Acquisition Premium Validates AI Infrastructure Thesis – Bulls Target $16.00 Floor
DigitalBridge’s 9.73% rally on the $4 billion SoftBank deal underscores the market’s conviction in AI infrastructure as a secular growth driver. While technicals suggest a short-term overbought condition, the $16.00 cash offer provides a clear floor, with options data indicating strong positioning for a $16.00 close. Sector leader Equinix (EQIX) at +0.33% highlights broader momentum, but DBRG’s unique role in the deal makes it a focal point. Investors should monitor the $15.32 intraday high for a breakout confirmation or a pullback to $14.00 for a retest. Aggressive bulls may target $16.00, while cautious traders should watch for a breakdown below $14.50 to trigger profit-taking.