Denmark prime minister: Even if an election has been called, the conflict about Greenland is still here

Denmark prime minister: Even if an election has been called, the conflict about Greenland is still here

Denmark’s Political Landscape Amid Greenland Tensions: Election Prospects and Strategic Implications

Denmark’s Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen faces a pivotal moment as she weighs a snap election amid heightened public support driven by her firm stance against U.S. President Donald Trump’s repeated demands over Greenland. The semi-autonomous territory, a key component of the Kingdom of Denmark, has become a focal point of international diplomacy, reshaping domestic political dynamics and economic priorities.

Public opinion has shifted in Frederiksen’s favor since Trump revived his push for Greenland in early 2026, with her approval ratings rising to 23% from 18% in December 2025. The prime minister’s emphasis on national sovereignty and crisis management—highlighted by her coordination with European allies to reinforce Greenland’s defense—has resonated with voters, particularly amid concerns over global security and resource competition. However, domestic challenges persist, including discontent over the government’s decision to eliminate a public holiday to fund military spending and rising living costs, which could temper electoral gains.

The Danish government has accelerated military and diplomatic measures to counter U.S. pressure, including increased funding for Arctic operations and collaboration with NATO allies. These actions align with broader European efforts to assert regional security independence, a shift underscored by Trump’s unpredictable rhetoric and the recent NATO framework discussions in Davos. Greenland itself remains divided, with polls indicating 6% of its population would support U.S. alignment, while most residents prioritize Danish ties and self-determination.

Frederiksen’s potential snap election, constrained to October 31, 2026, hinges on balancing domestic and international priorities. While her crisis-driven leadership has bolstered her Social Democrats, analysts caution that voter enthusiasm may wane once attention shifts back to economic issues. The prime minister’s reputation for decisive action—evidenced during the pandemic and the 2022 mink culling controversy— positions her as a polarizing yet resilient leader.

For investors, the Greenland dispute underscores risks and opportunities in Arctic resource markets and geopolitical stability. Denmark’s commitment to sovereignty and European solidarity could influence trade dynamics, defense contracts, and cross-border investments in critical minerals, which are vital for green technologies. However, prolonged tensions with the U.S. may introduce volatility, particularly if Trump renews aggressive posturing.

As Frederiksen navigates this complex landscape, the interplay of domestic politics, international diplomacy, and economic strategy will remain central to Denmark’s trajectory in the coming months.