Dell's Post-Earnings Dip: A Present for Long-Term Investors

Dell Technologies (DELL) recently experienced a post-earnings sell-off, with its stock price declining 29% from its peak. Despite this setback, long-term investors may find this dip to be a Christmas gift, presenting an attractive entry point before a potential boom in 2025.

Dell's third-quarter earnings surpassed analyst expectations for earnings but fell short on revenue. Management's guidance for the current fourth quarter was lower than anticipated, leading to a sell-off. However, this may be a temporary blip, as key metrics indicate strong long-term growth potential.

The delay in Nvidia's Blackwell chip impacted AI server demand in the near term, affecting Dell's guidance. However, Dell's robust AI server backlog and pipeline signal a strong rebound once the chip is fully ramped. Additionally, the upcoming Windows 10 phaseout in October 2025 is expected to drive a significant PC market recovery, further boosting Dell's prospects in 2025.

Dell's current valuation is relatively cheap compared to other AI-focused stocks. Trading at 20.8x trailing earnings and 14.4x fiscal 2025 estimates, Dell presents an attractive opportunity for long-term investors. Despite the recent sell-off, Dell's fundamentals remain strong, with a healthy AI server backlog and a pipeline growing at 50% sequentially.

Michael Dell's recent stock sales could be attributed to personal reasons or tax concerns, as capital gains tax rates may increase under a new administration. However, this should not deter long-term investors, as Dell's growth potential remains intact.


In conclusion, Dell's post-earnings sell-off presents an opportunity for long-term investors. Despite the recent setback, Dell's fundamentals and growth prospects remain strong. With a relatively cheap valuation and a positive long-term outlook, Dell's current dip may be a Christmas gift before a potential boom in 2025.