CoreWeave (CRWV) sube 23% por la actualización de Citi y la noticia sobre la misión de Genesis ¿Qué motiva la subida?

Summary
• CoreWeave (CRWV) surges 23.23% to $83.40, hitting an intraday high of $84.13
• Citi resumes coverage with a 'Buy' rating and $135 price target
• Genesis Mission partnership and construction delays spark mixed sentiment
• Turnover jumps to 53 million shares, 16.59% of float

CoreWeave’s explosive 23% rally has ignited a frenzy in the AI infrastructure sector, driven by Citi’s bullish rating and a high-profile partnership with the U.S. Department of Energy. The stock’s sharp rebound from a 59.9% six-month slump has drawn aggressive options activity, with 53,000 calls traded in the first hour alone. Traders are now weighing whether this surge marks a sustainable turnaround or a short-lived bounce.

Citi's 'Buy' Rating and Genesis Mission Partnership Ignite CRWV Rally
CoreWeave’s 23% surge was catalyzed by Citi’s resumption of coverage with a 'Buy' rating and $135 price target, citing robust Q3 bookings and enterprise demand. Simultaneously, the stock gained momentum after announcing its participation in the U.S. Department of Energy’s Genesis Mission, leveraging AI and supercomputing for national security and energy innovation. These developments counterbalance recent headwinds, including construction delays at its Texas data center and analyst downgrades. The rally also reflects short-covering, as 32.9% higher short interest over the past month suggests bears are retreating.

Data Processing Sector Mixed as Microsoft Trails CRWV's Surge
The Data Processing & Outsourced Services sector showed mixed momentum, with Microsoft (MSFT) declining 0.21% despite its dominant market position. CoreWeave’s rally outpaced sector peers, driven by its AI infrastructure focus and strategic partnerships. While Microsoft’s decline reflects broader market caution, CRWV’s surge highlights investor appetite for high-growth AI plays, particularly those with tangible government contracts and capacity constraints.

Options Bulls Target CRWV with High-Leverage Calls as Volatility Soars
• RSI: 44.86 (oversold)
• MACD: -6.92 (bearish), Signal Line: -6.70, Histogram: -0.22
• Bollinger Bands: Upper $93.08, Middle $77.24, Lower $61.40
• 30D Support: $74.72–$75.57

CoreWeave’s price action suggests a short-term bullish breakout above key resistance levels. The stock is trading near its 30D moving average ($80.53) but remains 47% below its 52W high ($187). Options bulls are favoring leveraged calls, with the CRWV20251226C80 and CRWV20251226C85 contracts standing out. These options offer high leverage (15.46% and 29.29%) and moderate delta (0.68 and 0.46), aligning with the stock’s volatility.

• CRWV20251226C80 (Call, $80 strike, 12/26 expiry):
- IV: 69.13% (high)
- LVR: 15.46% (high leverage)
- Delta: 0.6826 (moderate sensitivity)
- Theta: -0.4559 (rapid time decay)
- Gamma: 0.0417 (high sensitivity to price changes)
- Turnover: $2.4M (liquid)
- Payoff at 5% upside ($87.57): $7.57/share
- This contract offers aggressive leverage for a continued rally, with high gamma amplifying gains if the stock breaks above $80.

• CRWV20251226C85 (Call, $85 strike, 12/26 expiry):
- IV: 71.00% (high)
- LVR: 29.29% (extreme leverage)
- Delta: 0.4556 (moderate sensitivity)
- Theta: -0.3986 (rapid decay)
- Gamma: 0.0452 (high sensitivity)
- Turnover: $2.3M (liquid)
- Payoff at 5% upside ($87.57): $2.57/share
- This high-leverage call is ideal for traders expecting a sharp move above $85, with gamma amplifying returns if the stock accelerates.

Aggressive bulls may consider CRWV20251226C85 into a break above $85, while conservative traders should watch the $77.24 middle Bollinger Band for support.

Backtest CoreWeave Stock Performance
The backtest of CRWV's performance following a 23% intraday surge from 2022 to the present shows favorable results. The 3-Day win rate is 54.12%, the 10-Day win rate is 55.29%, and the 30-Day win rate is 57.65%, indicating a higher probability of positive returns in the short term. The maximum return during the backtest was 19.64%, which occurred on day 28, suggesting that CRWV can capitalize on intraday gains effectively.

CRWV’s Volatility Presents High-Reward Opportunities – Act Before Expiry
CoreWeave’s 23% rally reflects a mix of short-term optimism and lingering structural risks, including construction delays and analyst skepticism. The stock’s technicals suggest a potential continuation of the upward trend if it holds above $77.24, but a breakdown below $74.72 could trigger renewed selling. Investors should monitor Microsoft’s performance (-0.21% today) as a sector barometer. For those seeking leverage, the CRWV20251226C85 call offers explosive potential, but time decay is steep—act decisively before expiry on 12/26.