CLO Market Insights: Diverging Views on Spread Compression and Earnings Impact

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Spread Compression and Earnings Impact:
- Loan spreads tightened by almost 30 basis points in 2024 and an additional 10 basis points in early 2025, reaching post-crisis tights.
- This spread compression has been a significant headwind to the earnings ability of XFLT's assets, impacting both loan holding and CLO equity positions.

Distribution Decrease and Market Volatility:
- XFLT announced a distribution decrease to $0.07 per share, down from $0.077 per share, representing a 9.09% decrease.
- The decrease was attributed to net investment income declining in the quarter, impacted by spread compression and market volatility, including trade tensions.

CLO and Loan Market Volatility:
- CLO spreads saw dramatic tightening across the capital stack in early 2025, with BB's pricing in the mid-400s, before widening again due to trade tensions.
- Loan prices also suffered volatility, posting positive returns in January and February but declining in April, though recovering slightly in May.

Fund Structure and Positioning:
- XFLT is structured as a listed closed-end fund with a diversified portfolio of senior loans, CLO debt, and CLO equity.
- This structure allows for leverage use and exposure to higher-yielding CLO equity, differentiating it from CLO ETFs and mutual funds that primarily focus on CLO debt.