Ingresos del cuarto trimestre de 2025 de Ciena salta un 20,3 %, a pesar de una caída del 47,4 % en la rentabilidad neta

jueves, 11 de diciembre de 2025, 10:15 pm ET1 min de lectura

Ciena (CIEN) reported fiscal 2025 Q4 results on Dec 11, 2025, with revenue surpassing expectations and issuing strong guidance for fiscal 2026. The stock rose 2.55% in post-earnings trading, while the company’s CEO emphasized growth in AI-driven datacenter demand and strategic innovation.

Revenue

Ciena’s total revenue surged 20.3% year-over-year to $1.35 billion in Q4 2025, driven by robust performance across its core segments. Networking Platforms contributed $1.05 billion, with Optical Networking reaching $929.20 million, reflecting sustained demand for high-speed infrastructure. Routing and Switching revenue grew to $118.40 million, while Software and Services revenue, including Platform Software ($93.30 million) and Blue Planet Automation ($33.80 million), totaled $127.10 million. Global Services revenue, encompassing Maintenance ($82.50 million), Implementation ($74.30 million), and Advisory ($20.50 million), reached $177.30 million.

Earnings/Net Income

Ciena’s EPS declined 46.2% to $0.14 in Q4 2025 from $0.26 in Q4 2024, while net income dropped 47.4% to $19.49 million, underscoring margin pressures despite top-line growth.

Post-Earnings Price Action Review

A strategy of buying

following earnings beats and holding for 30 days yielded a 456.20% return, far outperforming the benchmark’s 138.65%. The 317.55% excess return highlighted the strategy’s effectiveness in leveraging positive surprises. With a Sharpe ratio of 0.80 and a 0.00% maximum drawdown, the approach demonstrated strong risk-adjusted performance, though margin compression and operational costs warrant caution.

CEO Commentary

CEO Gary Smith highlighted Ciena’s leadership in high-speed connectivity and its expanding role in the AI ecosystem. He emphasized durable demand from cloud and service providers, along with financial discipline, as key drivers for long-term growth.

Guidance

Ciena forecast FY2026 revenue of $5.7–6.1 billion and Q1 2026 revenue of $1.35–1.43 billion. Non-GAAP metrics include 43%±1% gross margin, $1.52 billion operating expenses, and 17%±1% operating margin for the year, reflecting confidence in market demand and operating leverage.

Additional News

  1. Insider Selling Activity:

    insiders, including CEO Gary Smith, executed 36 sales totaling $10.5 million in the past six months, raising questions about executive confidence.

  2. Hedge Fund Portfolio Shifts: Institutional investors like Price T Rowe Associates added 2.385 million shares, while BlackRock reduced holdings by 1.47 million, reflecting divergent market views.

  3. Analyst Optimism: Seven firms, including Stifel and Citigroup, issued “Buy” ratings, with price targets ranging up to $240, driven by AI infrastructure growth and datacenter expansion.

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