CF Industries Q2 2025 Earnings Preview: Expectations and Performance

CF Industries Holdings is set to announce its Q2 2025 earnings on August 6, with analysts expecting a profit of $2.24 per share, down 2.6% from the year-ago quarter. For fiscal 2025, analysts expect a profit of $6.83 per share, up 1.3% from fiscal 2024. Shares have climbed 26% over the past year, outpacing the S&P 500 Index's gain and the Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund's fall. Wall Street analysts have a "Hold" rating overall, with a mean price target of $88.67, indicating a 14.2% potential upside from current levels.

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF) is poised to release its Q2 2025 earnings on August 6, with analysts anticipating a profit of $2.24 per share, a 2.6% decrease from the year-ago quarter. For the full fiscal year 2025, analysts predict a profit of $6.83 per share, an increase of 1.3% from 2024 [1].

CF Industries, valued at a market cap of $15.7 billion, is a leading global producer of hydrogen and nitrogen products, primarily ammonia, granular urea, UAN, and ammonium nitrate. The company operates nine manufacturing complexes across the U.S., Canada, and the U.K., and owns the world’s largest ammonia production network [1].

The company’s stock has surged 26% over the past year, significantly outperforming the S&P 500 Index's 12.7% gain and the Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund’s (XLB) 5.8% fall over the same period [1]. This strong performance is driven by robust demand for nitrogen fertilizers, fueled by agricultural activity and industrial demand recovery post-pandemic [2].

CF Industries reported strong Q1 results on May 7, with revenue climbing 13.1% year-over-year to $1.7 billion, and net income per share surging 79.6% to $1.85. The company’s shares rose marginally following the announcement [1]. Wall Street analysts are skeptical about CF’s stock, with a "Hold" rating overall, but three analysts recommend a "Strong Buy," while one suggests a "Strong Sell" rating [1].

The company continues to focus on shareholder value, generating $586 million in net cash from operating activities in the first quarter and repurchasing 5.4 million shares for $434 million [2]. Rising nitrogen prices have contributed to a boost in revenue, with net sales rising nearly 13% year-over-year to $1,663 million in the first quarter [2].

CF Industries currently trades above its mean price target of $88.67, with a Street-high target of $105, indicating a 14.2% potential upside from current levels [1]. The company's Zacks Rank is #3 (Hold), with better-ranked stocks in the basic materials space including Carpenter Technology Corporation (CRS), Agnico Eagle Mines Limited (AEM), and Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. (ASM) [2].

References:
[1] https://www.barchart.com/story/news/33483889/cf-industries-q2-2025-earnings-what-to-expect
[2] https://finance.yahoo.com/news/cf-industries-shares-surge-28-134100767.html