Carmaker Misery Drags Down Global Credit Market Returns

The global credit market is grappling with a significant downturn, driven in part by the struggles of carmakers. Inventory management issues, discounting, and subprime auto loans are all contributing to a decline in credit market returns. This article explores the impact of carmaker inventory levels and pricing strategies on credit market performance, the role of subprime auto loans, and potential regulatory actions to mitigate the impact.

Carmakers are facing challenges with inventory levels and pricing strategies, which are affecting credit market returns. Excess stock and deep discounting in the U.S. market have led to higher inventories and a decline in average spending per vehicle. This, in turn, has raised concerns about pricing risk and inventory buildup, as noted by analysts at Barclays. As a result, investors are wary of higher inventories and the potential impact on credit market performance.

Subprime auto loans play a significant role in the overall credit market, and they are influenced by carmaker struggles. The used car market has seen a surge in demand due to supply chain problems and pandemic-era federal aid. Lenders have taken advantage of this demand by offering loans to consumers with low or nonexistent credit scores. However, as economic conditions change and interest rates rise, more borrowers are struggling to make their monthly payments. This has led to an increase in delinquencies and defaults, with the number of subprime borrowers behind on their auto-loan payments by 60 days or more reaching the highest level since at least 2017.

Investors are adjusting their portfolios in response to the changing dynamics in the global credit market. The closures of prominent used-auto lenders like American Car Center and U.S. Auto Sales, as well as regulatory scrutiny, have raised concerns about the stability of the credit market. As a result, investors are reevaluating their exposure to subprime auto loans and seeking safer investments.

Regulatory actions and policy changes can help mitigate the impact of carmaker struggles on the global credit market. The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) is currently suing two subprime auto lenders over potentially predatory practices. Additionally, regulators are taking legal action against companies like Credit Acceptance Corporation for aggressive marketing and setting consumers up to fail. By addressing these issues and enforcing fair lending practices, regulators can help stabilize the credit market and protect consumers.


In conclusion, the struggles of carmakers are dragging down global credit market returns. Inventory management issues, discounting, and subprime auto loans are all contributing to a decline in credit market performance. Investors are adjusting their portfolios in response to these challenges, and regulatory actions can help mitigate the impact. As the global credit market continues to evolve, addressing these issues will be crucial for maintaining stability and protecting consumers.