If I Could Buy Only 1 Warren Buffett Stock Amid the Stock Market Chaos, This Would Be It

Generado por agente de IAAlbert Fox
domingo, 20 de abril de 2025, 5:09 am ET2 min de lectura

As markets lurch between euphoria and despair, investors are increasingly drawn to anchors of stability. Among them,

(BRK.A, BRK.B) stands out. With its stock surging 17% year to date despite a broader market selloff, the company’s resilience offers a masterclass in risk management. But if forced to choose just one stock to weather the storm, the answer is clear: Berkshire itself.

The Case for Berkshire’s Operating Businesses: A Fortress Built on Steadfast Assets

At the heart of Berkshire’s value lies its operating businesses, now accounting for over 70% of the company’s worth. These are not speculative bets but industrial giants with durable competitive advantages. Consider BNSF Railroad, which transports 20% of U.S. intermodal freight, and Berkshire Hathaway Energy (BHE), a utility and energy powerhouse serving millions of customers. Together, they contributed nearly 37% of Berkshire’s 2024 operating earnings.

These businesses thrive on moats—scale, regulation, and customer captivity—that tech darlings and AI-driven stocks lack. Even as equity markets wobble, BNSF and BHE generate consistent cash flows, insulated from speculative cycles.

Equity Holdings: A Mixed Bag, but Not the Core Play

Berkshire’s equity portfolio includes names like American Express (AXP), DaVita (DVA), and Kroger (KR). While these companies have strong fundamentals—American Express posted 21% net income growth in 2024, and Kroger’s operating profit surged 31%—they remain exposed to market volatility. For instance, AXP’s stock fell 15% YTD in 2025, and DaVita’s shares dipped 6% due to operational hiccups.

Buying individual holdings risks overconcentration. Buffett himself has shifted focus away from public equities, offloading two-thirds of his Apple stake to bolster Berkshire’s cash reserves. The lesson? Invest in the engine, not the side bets.

Cash Reserves and Strategic Flexibility: A $334 Billion War Chest

Berkshire’s $334.2 billion cash pile—a 40-year high—acts as both a safety net and a catalyst for growth. This liquidity allows Buffett and his team to pounce on opportunities during downturns, as they did during the 2008 crisis. With debt totaling $124.8 billion largely tied to BNSF and BHE (both creditworthy entities), Berkshire’s balance sheet remains a fortress.

Valuation: A Premium Price for a Premium Asset

Critics point to Berkshire’s price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.8—a 10-year high—as a red flag. Yet adjusted for its $528.2 billion controlled business valuation (11.1x operating earnings) or 13.8x when accounting for net cash, the stock appears reasonably priced. Historically, Berkshire’s book value has grown at an 18.3% CAGR since 1965, dwarfing the S&P 500’s 10.2%.

Why Now?

The current environment—high volatility, tech overvaluation, and looming corrections—aligns perfectly with Berkshire’s strengths. With AI stocks underperforming in 2025 and traditional sectors stabilizing, Buffett’s focus on cash-generative, recession-resistant businesses becomes a winning formula.

Conclusion: The Ultimate Buffett Stock

Investing in Berkshire Hathaway today is akin to buying a diversified portfolio of moated businesses, a cash-rich conglomerate, and a proven capital allocator—all in one. While its P/B ratio may seem elevated, the company’s operational dominance, fortress balance sheet, and $1.15 trillion market cap justify the premium.

The data speaks volumes:
- 17% YTD outperformance vs. the S&P 500’s -8.3%
- 70%+ of value tied to resilient operating businesses
- $334 billion in cash to capitalize on market dislocations

In a chaotic market, Berkshire is the closest thing to a no-regrets play. The question isn’t whether to buy—it’s why you’d look elsewhere.

author avatar
Albert Fox

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