Bullish Options Strategies for Celestica (CLS) Amid Record Earnings and Volatility

Generado por agente de IAAlbert Fox
viernes, 3 de octubre de 2025, 12:22 pm ET2 min de lectura
CLS--

Celestica (CLS) has emerged as a standout performer in 2025, with its stock price surging to an all-time high of $254.79 on September 22, 2025, marking a 422% increase over the past year, according to MacroTrends' 27-year history. This meteoric rise, driven by robust earnings, strategic share repurchases, and a favorable shift in market sentiment toward AI infrastructure, has created compelling opportunities for bullish options strategies. Below, we dissect the fundamentals, options market dynamics, and actionable strategies for near-term capital appreciation.

Fundamental Catalysts: Earnings Surprises and Guidance Upgrades

Celestica's Q2 2025 results underscored its operational strength, with revenue reaching $2.89 billion-a 21% year-over-year increase-and adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.39, surpassing analyst expectations of $1.23, per MarketBeat's earnings page. The company raised its full-year revenue guidance to $11.55 billion from $10.85 billion and lifted adjusted EPS projections to $5.50, reflecting confidence in sustained demand for its Connectivity & Cloud Solutions (CCS) segment, according to a GuruFocus release. Notably, the CCS segment's Hardware Platform Solutions revenue surged 99% year-over-year to $1 billion, driven by AI infrastructure demand, as reported in a Stocktitan article.

This momentum builds on Q1 2025 performance, where revenue grew 20% to $2.65 billion, and adjusted EPS jumped 45% to $1.20, per Yahoo Finance's options chain. Analysts have since upgraded price targets, with some projecting further upside as CelesticaCLS-- capitalizes on its strategic investments in cloud capabilities and supply chain efficiency, as highlighted in a Benzinga piece.

Options Market Signals: Bullish Positioning Amid Volatility

The options market for CLSCLS-- reflects a mix of optimism and caution. As of September 2025, unusual options activity highlighted significant bullish trades, including $1.53 million in call options and $363,847 in put options, suggesting a projected price range of $90 to $310. Key call options with lower strike prices, such as the $110 call (implied volatility of 848.05%) and the $220 call (last price of $16.50), indicate strong expectations for upward movement. Conversely, put options like the $240 strike (last price of $1.60) show limited bearish sentiment, reinforcing the case for a bullish bias.

High implied volatility (IV) across call options-particularly for out-of-the-money strikes-presents both opportunities and risks. While elevated IV inflates premiums, it also amplifies potential gains if the stock continues its upward trajectory. For instance, the $220 call option, with a bid of $18.50 and ask of $20.40, offers leverage on a stock currently trading near $255.

Bullish Options Strategies: Leveraging Momentum

Given CLS's strong fundamentals and options market dynamics, two strategies stand out for near-term capital appreciation:

  1. Long Call Options for Leveraged Exposure
  2. Rationale: Buying call options with strike prices below the current stock price (e.g., $220 or $210) allows investors to capitalize on continued upside while mitigating downside risk. The $220 call, for example, offers a 15% leverage ratio (strike price vs. stock price) and benefits from high IV.
  3. Risk Consideration: If CLS consolidates or declines, the premium paid for the call will be lost. However, the stock's 52-week high of $258.16 and strong earnings trajectory suggest limited near-term bearish risk.

  4. Bull Call Spread for Defined Risk

  5. Rationale: A vertical bull call spread (e.g., buying the $220 call and selling the $240 call) limits cost while capping potential gains. This strategy is ideal for investors who expect moderate further gains but want to hedge against volatility. The $240 call's low premium ($1.60) reduces the net debit, enhancing risk-adjusted returns.
  6. Risk Consideration: The strategy's breakeven point ($220 + premium paid) must be surpassed for profitability. Given CLS's recent performance, this threshold appears achievable.

Conclusion: A Confluence of Fundamentals and Market Sentiment

Celestica's combination of record earnings, guidance upgrades, and AI-driven growth positions it as a compelling candidate for bullish options strategies. While the stock's volatility necessitates caution, the options market's heavy call buying and elevated IV provide a favorable backdrop for leveraged plays. Investors should prioritize strike prices aligned with the stock's near-term trajectory-such as the $220 call-and consider spreads to manage risk. As CLS navigates its September 2025 expiration cycle, the interplay of fundamentals and options positioning suggests a high probability of continued upside.

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