BlackRock (BLK) sube un 2,65% por mejoras de analistas y acuerdos de infraestructura, ¿ Qué movió el impulso?

Summary
• Morgan Stanley raises BLK’s price target to $1,514, signaling institutional confidence
• BlackRock secures 49.99% stake in Eni’s carbon capture unit, expanding infrastructure exposure
• BHP CEO hints at a series of $2B+ infrastructure deals with BLK, boosting fee-generating potential

BlackRock’s shares surged 2.65% to $1,088.28 in extended trading, driven by a mix of analyst upgrades, infrastructure deal activity, and crypto-related volatility. The stock traded between $1,066.14 and $1,090.96, outperforming its 52-week average of 4.3% gains. With a dynamic P/E of 28.61 and a $164.5B market cap, BLK’s rally reflects optimism around its asset management growth and strategic bets in carbon capture and infrastructure.

Infrastructure Deals and Analyst Upgrades Drive BlackRock’s Rally
BlackRock’s intraday surge was catalyzed by a confluence of bullish catalysts. Morgan Stanley’s upgraded price target to $1,514 (a 43% upside from current levels) underscored institutional confidence in BLK’s long-term growth. Simultaneously, the firm’s Global Infrastructure Partners (GIP) secured a 49.99% stake in Eni’s carbon capture unit, expanding recurring fee streams. BHP CEO’s remarks that the $2B infrastructure deal with BLK is the 'first of a series' further amplified optimism about future mandates. These developments offset crypto-related headwinds, including ETF outflows and Bitcoin/Ethereum transfers to Coinbase, which temporarily pressured sentiment.

Asset Management Sector Gains Momentum as BLK Outpaces Peers
The Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLF) has surged 14.7% year-to-date, reflecting broader asset management sector strength. However, BlackRock’s 2.65% intraday gain outperformed XLF’s recent momentum, driven by its unique positioning in infrastructure and ESG strategies. While XLF tracks a diversified basket of financials, BLK’s rally is tied to specific catalysts like GIP’s carbon capture expansion and BHP’s infrastructure pipeline, offering a more targeted exposure to high-margin fee-generating assets.

Options and ETFs to Capitalize on BLK’s Bullish Momentum
• 30D MA: 1,057.59 (below current price)
• 200D MA: 1,043.03 (below current price)
• RSI: 57.13 (neutral)
• MACD: -0.35 (bullish divergence)
• Bollinger Bands: 1,012.84–1,107.72 (current price near upper band)

BlackRock’s technicals suggest a short-term bullish bias, with key support at $1,038.43 and resistance at $1,125.22. The stock’s 2.65% rally aligns with its 52-week high of $1,219.94, but near-term volatility remains elevated due to crypto outflows and regulatory scrutiny. For leveraged exposure, consider the XLF ETF, which tracks the financial sector and has surged 1.68% today. However, options offer higher leverage. Two top picks from the options chain are:

• BLK20251226C1080
- Strike: $1,080
- Expiry: 2025-12-26
- IV: 20.50% (moderate)
- Delta: 0.619 (moderate sensitivity)
- Theta: -3.85 (high time decay)
- Gamma: 0.0146 (moderate sensitivity to price moves)
- Turnover: 18,039 (high liquidity)
- Leverage: 74.47% (high)
- Payoff (5% upside): $64.14
- Why it stands out: This call option balances leverage and liquidity, ideal for capitalizing on a continuation of BLK’s rally while mitigating time decay risks.

• BLK20251226C1090
- Strike: $1,090
- Expiry: 2025-12-26
- IV: 16.24% (moderate)
- Delta: 0.457 (moderate sensitivity)
- Theta: -2.96 (high time decay)
- Gamma: 0.0192 (high sensitivity to price moves)
- Turnover: 17,446 (high liquidity)
- Leverage: 153.13% (very high)
- Payoff (5% upside): $94.14
- Why it stands out: This option offers aggressive leverage for a 5% upside scenario, making it suitable for traders willing to accept higher time decay for amplified returns.

Aggressive bulls may consider BLK20251226C1090 into a bounce above $1,090.

Backtest BlackRock Stock Performance
The backtest of BlackRock (BLK) after a 3% intraday surge from 2022 to the present shows favorable performance, with win rates and returns indicating positive momentum. The 3-Day win rate is 53.85%, the 10-Day win rate is 54.45%, and the 30-Day win rate is 55.67%, suggesting that BLK tends to perform well in the short term following a 3% surge. The maximum return during the backtest was 2.68% over 30 days, with a maximum return day at 59, which implies that BLK can continue to show gains even in the medium term after the initial surge.

BlackRock’s Rally Gains Traction – Position for Earnings and Infrastructure Catalysts
BlackRock’s 2.65% rally is underpinned by infrastructure expansion, analyst upgrades, and a resilient asset management model. While crypto outflows and regulatory scrutiny pose near-term risks, the firm’s strategic bets in carbon capture and institutional partnerships position it for sustained growth. Investors should monitor the XLF ETF’s 1.68% gain as a sector benchmark and watch for a breakout above $1,125.22 to validate the bullish case. With earnings expected next month and BHP’s infrastructure pipeline in focus, BLK’s momentum could extend—making the BLK20251226C1080 and BLK20251226C1090 options compelling for leveraged exposure.