Bajada de Bitcoin: ¿Es esta una oportunidad de compra o una corrección adicional?

The November 2025 Bitcoin selloff has sparked intense debate among investors: Is this a temporary pullback driven by macroeconomic turbulence, or a harbinger of a deeper correction? To answer this, we must dissect the interplay of technical indicators and macroeconomic forces shaping risk-on/risk-off dynamics in crypto markets.

Macroeconomic Drivers: Risk-Off Sentiment Intensifies

Bitcoin's recent decline cannot be divorced from broader macroeconomic pressures. The Federal Reserve's prolonged hesitation to deliver rate cuts has created a toxic mix of uncertainty and inflationary headwinds. According to a report by WazirX, the Fed's policy ambiguity has exacerbated risk-off sentiment, pushing investors toward cash and away from high-beta assets like Bitcoin. Compounding this, trade tariff announcements-particularly those targeting major trade partners-have injected further volatility. These tariffs not only heighten inflationary pressures but also directly impact crypto mining operations, which rely on stable energy and hardware costs.

The selloff has also mirrored traditional markets, with Bitcoin's price action concentrated in U.S. trading hours. This regional divergence, as noted by the Economic Times, underscores Bitcoin's growing alignment with tech stocks and other risk assets, which are similarly sensitive to Fed policy and geopolitical tensions according to market analysis. Such synchronization suggests that Bitcoin is no longer an isolated speculative play but a barometer for global risk appetite.

Technical Breakdowns: Algorithms and Leverage Amplify Selling

From a technical perspective, Bitcoin's collapse below the critical $92,000 support level triggered a cascade of algorithmic selling and leveraged liquidations according to technical analysis. This breakdown shattered the psychological threshold that had defined the asset's recent consolidation phase, exposing vulnerable long positions.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) further signaled deteriorating momentum, with the RSI dipping below the neutral 50 line and the MACD flattening as technical indicators show. These indicators suggest that bullish momentum has stalled, leaving the market vulnerable to further downside.

Critical support and resistance levels now define the near-term outlook. A breach below $88,000 could accelerate the selloff toward $75,000, while a retest of the $92,000 level might offer a glimmer of stabilization according to market analysis. However, given the current macroeconomic climate, even a successful retest may lack conviction without a clear catalyst from central banks or inflation data.

Buying Opportunity or Deeper Correction?

The question of whether this selloff represents a buying opportunity hinges on two factors: the durability of macroeconomic risks and the resilience of Bitcoin's technical structure. On one hand, Bitcoin's historical tendency to rebound from overbought/oversold extremes suggests that a retest of key support levels could attract contrarian buyers. On the other hand, the Fed's policy trajectory and persistent inflationary pressures remain unresolved, creating a ceiling for risk-on assets.

For investors considering entry, the path of least resistance appears to favor caution. While technical indicators occasionally create false bottoms, the macroeconomic backdrop-particularly the Fed's reluctance to pivot-suggests that any recovery may be short-lived. A deeper correction becomes more likely if inflation data surprises to the upside or geopolitical tensions escalate further.

Conclusion

Bitcoin's November 2025 selloff is a textbook example of how macroeconomic forces and technical breakdowns can converge to drive risk-off behavior. While the asset's long-term fundamentals remain intact, the immediate outlook is clouded by policy uncertainty and fragile technical conditions. Investors must weigh the potential for a rebound against the risk of a prolonged correction, with close attention to Fed statements, inflation reports, and Bitcoin's ability to reclaim key support levels. In this environment, patience and disciplined risk management may prove more valuable than aggressive speculation.