Bitcoin News Today: Whales Pounce as Retail Fears Push ADA to Potential Turning Point

Cardano (ADA) faces a pivotal moment as retail sentiment turns bearish, with the bullish-to-bearish commentary ratio falling to 1.5:1, the lowest in five months, according to Santiment [1]. Despite this pessimism, the price of ADA rebounded by 5% this week, indicating a potential local bottom. The market has historically seen rallies emerge from such sentiment extremes, with past data showing that similar sentiment dips have often marked the start of bullish moves for ADA. Conversely, euphoric sentiment spikes have tended to precede sharp corrections, as seen with a 12.8:1 ratio earlier this summer.

On-chain activity suggests that large investors, or "whales," may be capitalizing on this retail pessimism. Similar patterns have been observed in other cryptocurrencies, where selling pressure from the retail crowd leads to accumulation by institutional or long-term investors [1]. The current bearish sentiment could therefore provide an entry point for these whales, especially if the retail sentiment continues to deteriorate.

ADA’s price movement has also shown divergence from broader market trends. While ether ETFs experienced significant outflows over a four-day period, ADA saw a modest rebound amid a broader bearish climate [1]. This divergence may reflect a shift in investor sentiment, with some allocating capital to ADA despite broader market jitters. The price of ADA in Bitcoin (BTC) stands at approximately BTC0.057618, with a 2.2% decline from yesterday and a 5.3% drop from its price seven days ago [2]. The 24-hour trading volume for ADA was BTC18,516.7502, showing active trading despite the mixed sentiment.

Whale accumulation has been a notable trend, with reports indicating that large investors have added over 150 million ADA to their holdings in recent weeks [3]. This activity has helped stabilize prices around the $0.85 level and has reduced the risk of further downside. Analysts suggest that this buildup could indicate a potential breakout, especially if the bullish technical patterns hold and market momentum shifts.

Technical indicators also paint a mixed picture. A symmetrical triangle pattern has emerged, and a breakout could potentially drive ADA past key resistance levels. If the current momentum persists, ADA could push above $1.10 and eventually reach the $1.50 to $2.00 range by 2025, according to one prediction [3]. Past market cycles have shown that when technical formations, network growth, and demand align, ADA has a strong potential for upward movement.

Long-term ADA holders, however, are advised to consider strategic exit points as the market approaches more volatile phases. Dan Gambardello, a well-known crypto analyst and Cardano supporter, has outlined a risk score system to guide investors on when to begin selling. The current risk score for Cardano is at 36, classified as a "moderate buy," but Gambardello warns that this could rapidly escalate to high-risk levels. In previous cycles, Cardano's risk score jumped from 34 to 76 in just a few weeks, accompanied by a sharp price increase [4]. Gambardello views a score of 75 as a key threshold to start scaling out of ADA positions, although he also notes that the $1 to $3 range is a viable profit-taking level for long-term investors [4].

As the market continues to evolve, ADA’s ability to maintain its position above $0.80 will be closely monitored. With whale accumulation, technical formations, and retail sentiment all playing a role, the coming weeks could determine whether ADA sustains its momentum or faces further corrections.

Source:

[1] Cardano's Bearish Retail Crowd Hands Whales a Buying Window (https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2025/09/06/cardano-s-bearish-retail-crowd-hands-whales-a-buying-window)

[2] ADA to BTC: Cardano Price in Bitcoin (https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/cardano/btc)

[3] Cardano Price Prediction: Could ADA Hit $2 by 2025 on ... (https://www.mitrade.com/insights/news/live-news/article-3-1101553-20250906)

[4] Cardano Bull Reveals When He'll Start Selling His ADA Bag (https://thecryptobasic.com/2025/09/05/cardano-bull-reveals-when-hell-start-selling-his-ada-bag/)