Bitcoin News Today: Whales Capitalize as Retail Frustration Hits 5-Month Low

Cardano (ADA) has seen a sharp decline in retail sentiment, with the bullish-to-bearish commentary ratio hitting 1.5:1—its lowest level in five months—according to Santiment data. This bearish shift in retail psychology has coincided with a 5% rebound in ADA’s price, suggesting the market may be marking a local bottom. Analysts suggest that such divergences between sentiment and price often signal accumulation opportunities for larger players, as retail traders sell out of frustration while whales take advantage of discounted buying windows [1].

On-chain data reveals significant whale activity over the past few weeks, with large investors accumulating over 150 million ADA. This inflow has helped stabilize the price near $0.85, reducing downside risks and creating a more favorable environment for a potential rally. Technical analyses highlight the formation of a symmetrical triangle pattern, with a successful breakout potentially pushing ADA past key resistance levels toward the $1.10–$2.00 range by 2025 [3].

Meanwhile, ADA's price in Bitcoin (BTC) has seen recent volatility, with ADA trading at approximately BTC0.057618 as of late September 2025. Over the last 24 hours, ADA’s price increased by 2.2% against BTC, while the 7-day trend shows a 5.3% decline from its price a week earlier. The total 24-hour trading volume was BTC18,516.7502, reflecting moderate but sustained interest in the asset [2].

Retail traders have historically played a pivotal role in ADA's price cycles. In mid-August, a bearish sentiment ratio aligned with a 5% price rebound, mirroring patterns seen in other cryptocurrencies. Euphoric retail sentiment, such as the 12.8:1 bullish-to-bearish ratio observed earlier this summer, has often preceded sharp pullbacks. These trends reinforce the idea that retail psychology is a key driver in short-term crypto price movements [1].

Looking ahead, some analysts are optimistic about ADA’s potential to reclaim the $2 mark by 2025, citing strong whale accumulation and positive technical formations. Fundamental improvements, such as decentralized governance and scalability enhancements on Cardano’s proof-of-stake network, also provide a robust backdrop for long-term growth. However, risks remain, particularly as the broader crypto market experiences volatility and competing narratives emerge. Projects like MAGACOIN FINANCE have begun to capture investor attention, adding another layer of complexity to altcoin trading strategies [3].

Dan Gambardello, a prominent Cardano supporter and crypto analyst, has outlined a disciplined exit strategy for ADA holders. He bases his approach on a “risk score” metric that ranges from 0 to 100, with scores above 75 signaling high or extreme risk. Gambardello plans to start scaling out of his ADA holdings once the risk score reaches 75, a threshold historically associated with turning points in both Cardano and Ethereum cycles. He also emphasized that long-term holders should consider taking profits between $1 and $3, particularly as ADA approaches its $3.10 all-time high from 2021 [4].

While ADA’s fundamentals and whale activity suggest a strong case for a price rebound, the market remains highly speculative. Investors are advised to remain cautious and monitor both on-chain activity and sentiment shifts closely. Whether ADA can maintain its position above $0.80 and push toward higher targets will depend on a combination of technical momentum, market psychology, and broader crypto market dynamics [1][3].

Source:

[1] Cardano's Bearish Retail Crowd Hands Whales a Buying ... (https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2025/09/06/cardano-s-bearish-retail-crowd-hands-whales-a-buying-window)

[2] ADA to BTC: Cardano Price in Bitcoin (https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/cardano/btc)

[3] Cardano Price Prediction: Could ADA Hit $2 by 2025 on ... (https://www.mitrade.com/insights/news/live-news/article-3-1101553-20250906)

[4] Cardano Bull Reveals When He'll Start Selling His ADA Bag (https://thecryptobasic.com/2025/09/05/cardano-bull-reveals-when-hell-start-selling-his-ada-bag/)